Results of Y-14 Men's Épée - AFM Youth Epee Cup - Event #3

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 8:00 AM

AFM Sunnyvale - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
1	CHANG Andrew	100%	100%	100%	96%	82%	51%	16%
2	CHAUDHURI Kabir	100%	93%	68%	33%	9%	1%	-
3	JOHAR Manvik	100%	96%	77%	45%	17%	3%	-
3	WANG Devin	100%	100%	99%	96%	82%	54%	22%	4%
5	ROBINSON Samuel	100%	100%	97%	87%	61%	27%	5%
6	LAI Alexander	100%	100%	100%	99%	91%	68%	28%
7	WAGHOLIKAR Prathit	100%	96%	78%	46%	17%	3%	-
8	FAN Jordan	100%	97%	81%	50%	20%	5%	-
9	SRIKANTH Hariharan	100%	100%	96%	82%	54%	24%	6%	1%
10	MANA Arnav	100%	100%	100%	100%	98%	90%	66%	26%
11	YOUNG Quentin	100%	100%	95%	79%	48%	17%	2%
12	CHAUDHARY Rohan	100%	92%	68%	35%	12%	2%	-	-
13	MA Ryan	100%	98%	87%	60%	28%	7%	1%
14	CHEW Aedan	100%	100%	96%	80%	45%	14%	2%
15	DENG Andes	100%	97%	83%	53%	23%	6%	1%	-
16	WONG Preston	100%	90%	62%	28%	8%	1%	-
17	QIAO James	100%	100%	97%	86%	61%	30%	8%	1%
18	LIU Max	100%	93%	68%	34%	11%	2%	-
19	LEUNG Dylan	100%	99%	89%	64%	31%	9%	1%
20	BAUMAN Colin	100%	100%	95%	80%	51%	21%	5%	-
21	YAN Eric	100%	99%	91%	68%	35%	10%	1%
23	GUPTA Hemansh	100%	92%	63%	29%	8%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.

The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.

The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.

By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

AFM Youth Epee Cup - Event #3

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Probability density of pool victories

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Explanation