Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC 2023

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, April 29, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
2 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
3 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
3 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
5 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
6 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
7 KANG Michael H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
8 KNOX James 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
9 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
10 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
11 CAI Brian 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
12 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 10%
13 OH Kevin Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 9%
14 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
15 MEN Junda 100% 73% 28% 6% - -
16 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
17 THAKUR Om S. 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
18 DEPOMMIER Remi 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
19 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 2% -
20 SKAALAND Will 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 3%
21 SHA Michael 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2%
22 NIXON Christian A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
23 GALLANT Antoine 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
24 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
25 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39% 7%
26 BAILEY David 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
27 ZUKOFSKY Zachary 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2%
28 JACKSON Nicholas 100% 57% 14% 2% - -
29 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
30 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
31 LAI Boden 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
32 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
33 RICCOBONO Matthew 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
34 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
35 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
36 JONELEIT Aidan 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
37 CHU Brandon A. 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
38 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
39 WU COLIN 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% -
40 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
41 HU Robert J. 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
42 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 93% 59% 22% 4% -
43 CORRIDON Jack T. 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
44 ROBINS Brennan 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
44 ZHANG ethan 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
46 XIE Brandon 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
47 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
48 REPIC Oliver 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% - -
49 DEITZ Ethan 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
50 BEALS Alden 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 5% -
51 HERZ Alexander S. 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
52 HENRY Gevaughn 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
53 WONG King-Yee 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% - -
54 BENTAHA Averroes 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
55 OKUN Benjamin 100% 71% 31% 8% 1% - -
56 ZHANG Roland 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
57 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
58 MANITT Philip 100% 69% 23% 3% - - -
59 BAKER Robert 100% 83% 37% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.