Mission SYC 2023

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 8:30 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VADEN Oliver - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
2 GHEDINI Luca - - - 2% 21% 77%
3 SIMONOV Timofey - - - 5% 31% 64%
3 CHEN Ethan - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
5 PARRISH Evan - - - - 5% 30% 64%
6 ZHANG Lucas - - 4% 20% 42% 32%
7 DOELL Ethan - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
8 ZENG Rick - 2% 12% 33% 40% 14%
9 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
10 CHEN Kyle P. - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
11 CHENG Logan - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
12 BAI Austin - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
13 HOU Gaven - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
14 TANG Royce - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
15 TOOMRE Kai - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
16 CHOI Benjamin - 2% 14% 37% 38% 8%
17 ZHAO Nathan - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
18 CHANG Eric Jonathan - 1% 9% 34% 43% 13%
19 YU Haochen 3% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1%
20 REN Ryan 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
21 KO Caleb 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 5%
22 HUANG Jinyao - 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
23 CHANG Jeremy - 4% 17% 36% 33% 11%
23 GRIGORIEV Michael 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
25 MO Ethan - 1% 8% 30% 46% 15%
26 WANG Luke 7% 27% 38% 23% 6% -
27 NOVIKOV Yann 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
28 BAKSHI Aman 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
29 ZHAO Ryan 4% 19% 38% 30% 9% -
30 LU Hansen 4% 22% 39% 28% 7% -
31 XIE Jicheng - 1% 7% 27% 40% 23% 3%
32 CZARNECKI Thomas - 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 1%
33 CHEN kenneth 5% 23% 39% 26% 6% -
34 ZHAI Derrick 1% 8% 28% 40% 22% 2%
35 JAZWINSKI Ryan 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
36 ABRAMKIN Tim 17% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
37 PAN Howard Haoran 6% 26% 39% 24% 5% -
38 ZHANG Ethan 54% 37% 8% 1% - -
39 KUO Phineas 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
40 QIAN Zekai 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
41 JIN Xuechong Daniel 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
42 HUYNH Matthew 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
43 OH Joshua 1% 9% 33% 39% 16% 2%
44 WANG Ancen 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
45 KUANG Cyrus 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
46 PAN Xijun 11% 46% 34% 9% 1% -
47 WANG Mendy 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
48 SHAW eric 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
49 WANG Ralph 20% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
50 LIU Gene 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
51 HELMY Richard 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
52 PLUMMER Waylon 2% 15% 34% 34% 14% 2%
53 XIA Philip 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% -
54 CHANG Parker 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
55 LEE Thomas 25% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
56 XU Nathan 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
57 BEYDOUN Sam 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
58 JI Derek 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
59 WU Wallace 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% 1%
60 LI Jayden 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
61 XIAN kevin 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 4%
62 ZHANG Zijie 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
63 ZHAI Alex 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
64 PAN Ethan 20% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
65 ZHENG Austin 27% 43% 24% 6% - -
66 SIU Max 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% -
67 DAWSON Myer 12% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
68 ZHANG Hanru 1% 13% 37% 36% 12% 1%
69 AYYAGARI Abhiram 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
70 BULIN Jack 3% 21% 39% 29% 8% -
71 WOODTHORPE Chris 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
71 KIM Daniel 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
73 DENG Jonathan 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.