Mission SYC 2023

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 8:30 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
2 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
3 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
5 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
6 ZHANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
7 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
8 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
9 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
10 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
11 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
12 BAI Austin 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
13 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
14 TANG Royce 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
15 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
16 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 8%
17 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
18 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 13%
19 YU Haochen 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% 1%
20 REN Ryan 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
21 KO Caleb 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 5%
22 HUANG Jinyao 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
23 CHANG Jeremy 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
23 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
25 MO Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 15%
26 WANG Luke 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
27 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
28 BAKSHI Aman 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
29 ZHAO Ryan 100% 96% 77% 40% 9% -
30 LU Hansen 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% -
31 XIE Jicheng 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
32 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% 1%
33 CHEN kenneth 100% 95% 72% 33% 6% -
34 ZHAI Derrick 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 2%
35 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
36 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
37 PAN Howard Haoran 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
38 ZHANG Ethan 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
39 KUO Phineas 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2%
40 QIAN Zekai 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
41 JIN Xuechong Daniel 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
42 HUYNH Matthew 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
43 OH Joshua 100% 99% 90% 57% 18% 2%
44 WANG Ancen 100% 98% 84% 50% 14% 1%
45 KUANG Cyrus 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% -
46 PAN Xijun 100% 89% 43% 9% 1% -
47 WANG Mendy 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
48 SHAW eric 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
49 WANG Ralph 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
50 LIU Gene 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
51 HELMY Richard 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
52 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
53 XIA Philip 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% -
54 CHANG Parker 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
55 LEE Thomas 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
56 XU Nathan 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% -
57 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 91% 59% 22% 3% -
58 JI Derek 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% -
59 WU Wallace 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
60 LI Jayden 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
61 XIAN kevin 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
62 ZHANG Zijie 100% 68% 25% 4% - - -
63 ZHAI Alex 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
64 PAN Ethan 100% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
65 ZHENG Austin 100% 73% 30% 6% - -
66 SIU Max 100% 92% 61% 23% 3% -
67 DAWSON Myer 100% 88% 50% 16% 2% - -
68 ZHANG Hanru 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
69 AYYAGARI Abhiram 100% 93% 64% 26% 4% -
70 BULIN Jack 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% -
71 WOODTHORPE Chris 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
71 KIM Daniel 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
73 DENG Jonathan 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.