2023 Rain City Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 13, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
2 GUAN Nathan 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
3 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 44%
3 BU Xian Chen 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
5 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
6 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
7 URBAN Karl 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
8 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% - -
9 BLOCK B.J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
10 PARKS Isaac 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3% -
11 PETERSEN Ephraim 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 7% -
12 HONZ Jacob 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 32%
13 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 2%
14 WANG Terry 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
15 WEGENER Soren 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
16 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 15%
17 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
18 ARMES Jonas 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
19 MAKMATOV Vadim 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
20 KLEIN Johannes 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 12%
21 BLOM Mark D. 100% 96% 73% 32% 5% -
22 BEAVER Aaron 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
23 COOKE Cameron 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 2%
24 RABOIN James 100% 91% 53% 16% 3% - -
25 FORD Israel 100% 69% 27% 5% - -
26 KRYLTSOV Greg 100% 93% 63% 23% 3% -
27 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
27 PENG Gregory 100% 93% 67% 31% 9% 1% -
29 BIROAN Chaz 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
30 DONDISCH Ilan 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10% 1%
31 WAI Andreas 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
32 KIM Teo 100% 96% 67% 26% 4% - -
33 LU Henry 100% 69% 28% 7% 1% - -
34 KHRISSANOV Peter 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
35 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
36 HIRANI Kareem 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
37 SCHULTZ Nomi 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
38 GUAN Isabella 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
39 FORD Nikanor 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
40 MARSO Ellie 100% 75% 35% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.