2023 Bay State Games (NEUSFA)

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, June 11, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HANSEN Jonas B. - - - 1% 99%
2 JIN Owen - - 5% 35% 60%
3 MELCHER Jack H. - - - 3% 23% 74%
3 WU Joseph - - 1% 19% 79%
5 GOHEL Dayus T. - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
6 LONGSTREET Jeffrey - 8% 34% 43% 15%
7 GAO Daniel - 2% 15% 44% 39%
8 WANG Justin 4% 27% 48% 19% 1%
9 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 1% 7% 28% 42% 22%
10 SAVORETTI Francesco - 1% 12% 35% 38% 13%
11 JIANG Ryan - 11% 34% 38% 16% 1%
12 SHA Michael 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
13 RICHARD Owen - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
14 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) - 3% 20% 42% 30% 5%
15 MARINI Davide 16% 40% 32% 11% 1%
16 PAHLAVI Kamran - 4% 24% 43% 26% 3%
17 SIMPSON Patrick - 2% 17% 39% 33% 10%
18 MEN Junda 1% 10% 36% 38% 14% 1%
19 OH Kevin Y. - 2% 23% 55% 19%
20 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 3% 21% 46% 30% -
21 OSTIGUY Cameron - 7% 31% 42% 18% 2%
22 MARTONE Matt L. 2% 19% 43% 30% 6%
23 ZHANG William 1% 23% 54% 20% 2%
24 SONG Troy 4% 54% 36% 5% -
25 SMITH Troy H. - 4% 24% 41% 26% 6%
26 WILSON Ian G. 4% 27% 41% 23% 4% -
27 HOWLETT Daniel 1% 12% 34% 37% 15% 1%
28 ZHANG Dinghao 6% 32% 44% 18% -
29 RYAN Joshua P. 1% 8% 36% 50% 7%
30 WALTING Paul J. 10% 39% 39% 12% -
31 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 38% 45% 15% 1% -
32 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 13% 49% 30% 7% 1% -
33 BRADSHAW Carter 25% 49% 23% 3% -
34 MARSHALL William L. 3% 21% 40% 29% 7%
35 MASSE Jack 44% 42% 13% 1% -
36 STEIN Philip 65% 30% 4% - -
37 XIE Brandon 8% 42% 38% 11% 1%
38 DOWD Peter L. 62% 33% 5% - - -
40 WU Chi Kuan 69% 28% 2% - - -
41 BRUEGGEMANN Max 29% 44% 22% 4% -
42 WHITE Aidan 88% 11% - - -
43 SULKIS Adam 64% 31% 5% - - -
44 MILGRAM Aaron 16% 56% 24% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.