2023 Bay State Games (NEUSFA)

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, June 11, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
2 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 95% 60%
3 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
3 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
5 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
6 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 100% 92% 58% 15%
7 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
8 WANG Justin 100% 96% 68% 20% 1%
9 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
10 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 13%
11 JIANG Ryan 100% 100% 89% 55% 17% 1%
12 SHA Michael 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
13 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
14 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 100% 97% 77% 35% 5%
15 MARINI Davide 100% 84% 44% 12% 1%
16 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 100% 96% 72% 29% 3%
17 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 10%
18 MEN Junda 100% 99% 89% 54% 15% 1%
19 OH Kevin Y. 100% 100% 97% 74% 19%
20 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 97% 76% 30% -
21 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 100% 93% 61% 20% 2%
22 MARTONE Matt L. 100% 98% 79% 37% 6%
23 ZHANG William 100% 99% 76% 22% 2%
24 SONG Troy 100% 96% 42% 6% -
25 SMITH Troy H. 100% 100% 96% 72% 31% 6%
26 WILSON Ian G. 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% -
27 HOWLETT Daniel 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 1%
28 ZHANG Dinghao 100% 94% 62% 18% -
29 RYAN Joshua P. 100% 99% 92% 56% 7%
30 WALTING Paul J. 100% 90% 51% 12% -
31 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 62% 16% 1% -
32 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 87% 37% 7% 1% -
33 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 75% 26% 3% -
34 MARSHALL William L. 100% 97% 76% 36% 7%
35 MASSE Jack 100% 56% 14% 1% -
36 STEIN Philip 100% 35% 5% - -
37 XIE Brandon 100% 92% 50% 12% 1%
38 DOWD Peter L. 100% 38% 5% - - -
40 WU Chi Kuan 100% 31% 2% - - -
41 BRUEGGEMANN Max 100% 71% 26% 5% -
42 WHITE Aidan 100% 12% - - -
43 SULKIS Adam 100% 36% 5% - - -
44 MILGRAM Aaron 100% 84% 28% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.