National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Vet-40 Men's Épée

Monday, July 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FRENCH Timothy 100% 100% 99% 88% 49% 11%
2 HANSEN Eric J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 59%
3 MAKMATOV Vadim 100% 100% 94% 70% 27% 1%
3 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
5 STEPHAN Jens 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 57%
6 ROSTAL Scott E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 26%
7 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 23%
8 ALLEN Graham 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 20%
9 REAGAN Dustin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
10 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 29%
11 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
12 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 2%
13 MENDOZA Zandro 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
14 SHULL Marc 100% 95% 56% 13% 1% -
15 STOCK Jordan 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
16 CHU Brandon A. 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
17 BARTLETT Jonathan R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
18 HARRELL D. Fox 100% 99% 85% 45% 7% -
19 COCHRAN Michael 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
20 REED David 100% 67% 21% 3% - -
21 HESS Marc F. 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1%
22 KENT IV David 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
23 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 99% 79% 39% 10% 1%
24 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 98% 79% 36% 4% -
24 KIM Jeff 100% 96% 61% 18% 1% -
26 DAN Chuntao 100% 76% 29% 5% - -
27 DILLE Brice 100% 97% 65% 19% 2% -
28 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
29 SLOAN Ryan 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
30 SITTER Gregoire 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
31 SANTOS Felipe 100% 98% 81% 38% 5% -
32 LIN Kimball 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
33 RUSKIN David I. 100% 97% 71% 26% 3% -
34 DAVIS Kelly 100% 30% 3% - - -
35 SILKEY Jason 100% 22% 2% - - -
36 ALLRED Byron 100% 20% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.