National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Vet-60 Men's Épée

Monday, July 3, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WATRALL Rick 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
2 VARNEY John R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
3 RICHARDS Dick 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
3 SCHINDLER Sergey M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 27% 5%
5 HUDSON Jeffrey (Jeff) A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
6 AMELI Sean 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
7 VAN DYKE Frank 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
8 JENSEN David 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
9 DRAGONETTI Walter E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 67%
10 PERKA Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 13%
10 FRANK Fred 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 12%
12 KAROLAK Dale W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
13 GLASS Timothy C. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
14 NIEMIEC Mark 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
15 HAYENGA Gary M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
16 NEALE James H. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
17 SEGAL Mark N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
18 DELGADO Jr. Eli M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
19 JAMES Lonnie M. 100% 100% 99% 83% 46% 13% 1%
20 SWANSON Dave 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
21 RANES Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
22 JUGAN Bruce M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
23 SETTE Alessandro 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% - -
24 ALEXANDER Chuck 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
25 MCTIGUE J. Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
26 KLEIN Johannes 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4% -
27 LANDIS Geoffrey A. 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
28 SIMMONS Matthew C. 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
29 POPPRE Michael N. 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
30 KRUGER Mark 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
31 DOWNEY Gerard C. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
32 MARSHALL William L. 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
33 CHANG Henry 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
34 LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
35 WHITELOCK James R. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
36 WHEELER Mark C. 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
37 EVANS Allen L. 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
38 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 100% 98% 79% 39% 9% 1%
39 BEITTEL David F. 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
40 PITZEL John E. 100% 95% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
41 SIEDOW Jeffrey 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
42 MCKEE David 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
43 MITCHELL Matthew D. 100% 68% 14% 1% - - -
44 POOLE James M. 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
45 POPOVICI Alexander M. 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
46 TIERNEY Luke 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
47 STONE Ken 100% 33% 5% - - - -
48 GROSS Louis A. 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
49 CROUCH William John (John) 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
50 CHERNEK Stephen L. 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
50 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
52 SKOPIK Jr August 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
53 ENGLISH William 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
54 MONES Robert (Bob) J. 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% - -
55 OLSON Mark R. 100% 50% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.