National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-14 Women's Épée

Wednesday, July 5, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE REGINA - - - - 2% 21% 76%
2 YAO Melinda - - - - 6% 34% 60%
3 SPRINGER Sierra - - - - 2% 20% 78%
3 NEMETH Katherine - - - 3% 19% 48% 30%
5 LEE Olivia - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
6 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. - - - - 5% 31% 63%
7 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
8 KUMAR Eva - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
9 WITTER Catherine A. - - - - 4% 27% 68%
10 CHI Chelsea - - - 2% 14% 45% 39%
11 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra - - - - 5% 29% 66%
12 PROFIS Liora - - - 4% 23% 48% 25%
13 ZHU Serene M. - - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
14 BECKMAN Ana - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
15 LEE Claire - - 4% 17% 37% 32% 9%
16 MYRAH Vivienne - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
17 BEAVER Ava - - 1% 8% 29% 45% 16%
18 AZMEH nour - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
19 SONG Angela - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
20 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
21 GUO Luxi - - - 4% 20% 47% 28%
22 NEELAM Navya - - 4% 18% 38% 34% 6%
23 CAFASSO Natalya - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
24 YOUNG VIVIAN - - - 3% 17% 46% 34%
25 LEE Scarlett - - - 2% 15% 47% 36%
26 SMUK Alexandra S. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
27 CARRIER Meredith - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
28 SHARMA Sanvi - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15%
29 BURICEA Ada 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
30 QI Jarynne Valerie - - - 2% 15% 43% 39%
31 SYKES Elynor - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22%
32 SHIV Avni - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
33 IYER Ishana - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
34 DEPOMMIER Isabelle - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
35 HSIU Elizabeth - - 1% 7% 27% 48% 17%
36 WATTANAKIT Anda - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
36 WANG Victoria - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
38 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
39 NIX Reagan - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 20%
40 STERR Isabella M. - - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
41 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
42 YILMAZ Pinar - - 1% 11% 33% 41% 14%
43 JAKEL Alysa C. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
44 LEE Camilla - - 3% 13% 34% 38% 11%
45 WANG Trinity - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
46 MARTINEZ Christina 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 4% -
47 SCHMITT Harper - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
48 MALLAVARPU saanvi - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
49 PATIL Amulya - - 1% 8% 31% 43% 16%
50 LIANG Jingjing - 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
51 PRESMAN Aerin - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
52 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
53 TANG Sze Nga Nicole - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
54 DOUGLAS Marketa F. - 1% 5% 20% 39% 31% 4%
55 BROWN Riley - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 1%
56 HUANG Lanlan - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
57 RICHARDSON Meredith - 1% 5% 21% 39% 29% 4%
58 BLANCO Ariia - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
59 QI Julieanne 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
60 WANG Jessie - 1% 5% 24% 43% 27%
61 NOVOJILOV Anastasia - 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 2%
62 AIRES Julia - 10% 32% 38% 18% 3%
63 LEE Gloria Y. 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
64 SCHOR Elisabeth 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
65 ZHAO Alina - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8%
66 BUSH emma - - - 1% 7% 38% 55%
67 MARTYNOVA Diana - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
68 WANG Zoe - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
69 GUAN Isabella - - 4% 17% 39% 36% 5%
70 HABEK Sophia - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
71 XU Serena - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
72 KUMAR Anusha - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
73 WANG Angelina - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
74 PULLEN Ayah - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
75 MENDOZA zoie - - 4% 20% 39% 31% 6%
76 PHUKAN Indra - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
77 CAMAMA Tessa - - 1% 11% 35% 42% 10%
77 SMOTRITSKY Liat - 3% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
79 CHUANG Ramona 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
80 NAIR Supriya - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
81 CHERNIS Liah 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
82 MURPHY Katherine 1% 15% 36% 34% 12% 2% -
83 ABUELFUTUH Sama - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
84 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
85 GANSER Nicole 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
86 KAUR Manroop 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
87 YIN Gabriela - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
88 ILYAS Ayah 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
89 LIN Ariel - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 20%
90 WALTER Anna 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
91 MULAGARI Swarasai 2% 24% 41% 26% 7% 1%
92 NGUYEN Ella 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
93 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
94 NGUYEN Jolie T. - - 5% 23% 42% 25% 4%
95 WONG Caitlin - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
96 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2% -
97 PILSON Rebecca - 2% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
98 BAWA Jenya 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
99 LISCUM Vivian - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
100 KANG Yenna 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1% -
101 LI Alice - 2% 13% 37% 36% 12% 1%
102 XU Jessica 4% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
102 LAI Amanda - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
104 READ Lyla 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4% -
105 CHUNG Penelope - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
106 CHATIKHINE Anastasia - 3% 13% 30% 35% 17% 2%
107 WANG Selina 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -
108 VARAN Kateryna 1% 10% 32% 38% 16% 3% -
109 FRANGER Macy - 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
110 RUVOLO Arwen 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
111 JAMES Ashley 4% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
112 HALE Avery 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
113 WRIGHT Madison 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
114 HANKINS Morgan - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
115 JORDAN Zoe 1% 8% 27% 37% 23% 5%
116 LEE Yeriel 4% 23% 41% 26% 7% 1%
117 KALGAONKAR Arohi 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
118 KING Emily - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
119 TISMENSKY Abigail 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
120 MONOVA Lilyana - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
121 MEYER Rebecca 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
122 YU Eva 4% 27% 42% 22% 5% - -
123 XU Celina - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11% 1%
124 CHANG Abigail 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
125 CHIRASHNYA Mika 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3% -
126 PEI Claire 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
127 BHATT Anisha - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8% 1%
128 KROPP Anne 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
129 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
130 SEREGIN Katya - 3% 15% 33% 33% 13% 2%
131 KANE Chloe 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
132 NGUYEN Ashley L. - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 4%
132 MOLLINIER Angel - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
132 YAO Chloe 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
135 LOZIER Grace 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
136 KAMEL Jana 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
137 FOUX Abigail 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
138 PATEL Swara 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
139 WEI Sherry 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
140 LIN Laura - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12% 1%
141 HASIM Eurietta - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
142 GLATZ Alesia 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
143 BOROTKO Katerina - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
144 BEATIE Isabella M. 1% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
145 FLITMAN Gabrielle 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
145 STERN Savannah 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2% -
147 AWALEGAONKAR Saina 3% 19% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
148 MADANNAVAR Trisha 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
149 KAUR Jaap 3% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
150 LIANG Angela 15% 36% 33% 14% 2% - -
151 LEE Adelynn 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
152 MCKENNA Analise 2% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1% -
153 PETROFF Eva 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
154 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 1% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
155 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
156 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 1% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2%
157 GAN Shelby 30% 45% 21% 4% - -
158 MASSARO Ava 4% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1%
159 MCQUEEN Morgan 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
160 TALANDZEVICIUS Sophia 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
161 ZHUANG Lauren 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
162 CAMPBELL Eva - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
163 LY Hannah 2% 15% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
164 DESAI Ela 11% 41% 35% 11% 1% - -
165 ZHAN Clare 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
166 LANE Leah - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
166 DOBROSAVLJEVIĆ Kalina 22% 48% 25% 5% - - -
168 SUN Karolyn 2% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
169 HAUSHEER Kuncen 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
170 VICKERMAN Aspen 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
171 WANG Emma 4% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
172 FISCHBEIN Quinley 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
173 KANASKAR Ila - 2% 15% 38% 34% 10% 1%
174 WU Michelle 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
175 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1% -
175 DAVIS Jennifer 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 3% -
177 SHETH Anayaà 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
178 BINDAS Sigrid 51% 38% 9% 1% - - -
179 YERIAN Ayda - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
180 SHERMAN Olivia 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4% -
181 PYE Emily 10% 38% 37% 13% 2% - -
182 GAVASHELI Margarita 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
183 WU Jessica 5% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
184 STEWART Daphne 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -
185 BUKOWSKI Lillian 14% 34% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
186 TISMENSKY Avital 6% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
187 PAN Angela 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1%
188 HE Anna 8% 35% 38% 16% 3% -
189 PARK elli 47% 40% 12% 2% - -
190 YUMIACO Nylah 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
191 HILBY Olivia 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
192 ELTERMAN Kate 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
193 WANG Sophie Y. 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% 1% -
194 MEYER Rachel - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7% 1%
195 WU Madisen 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
196 ZHAO Yanning 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
197 KOSIM Irene 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
197 LI Yunxuan (Joy) 1% 19% 39% 29% 10% 1% -
197 ZHANG Helen 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
200 WANG Cecilia 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
200 LEE Kaitlyn 9% 43% 35% 11% 2% - -
202 STOY Sophia 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
203 CHEN Alina 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
204 JONES Veronica C. 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
205 JEYOON Lauren 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
205 KRISHNA Rithika 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
207 KENT Laurel 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
207 GUSKA Jenn 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
209 YOUSSEF Caroline 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
209 WORKNEH Lulit 14% 35% 34% 14% 3% - -
211 ZHANG Rose 64% 31% 5% - - - -
212 LIN Isabel 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
213 BI Michelle 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
214 WANG Aria 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
215 BORDIER Siloe 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
216 HU Chloe 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
217 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
218 DAVIS Elisabeth 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
218 SNYDER Kathryn 7% 31% 37% 19% 5% - -
220 LARSEN Natalia 79% 20% 2% - - -
221 LAKE Emma 83% 16% 1% - - - -
221 SHARMA Ananya 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
223 JAQUISH Zoey 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
224 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa 51% 39% 10% 1% - - -
224 LEVKOV Maita 80% 19% 2% - - - -
224 STEPHAN Ella Whitney 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
227 POZAS Vida 57% 35% 8% 1% - - -
228 LEE Sophia 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
228 CHAKRAPANI Tara 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
230 PATTERSON Liliya 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
231 ALVAREZ Martine 34% 44% 18% 3% - -
232 KANDALA Aanya 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
233 ZHENG Erin 28% 41% 24% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.