National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-14 Women's Épée

Wednesday, July 5, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
2 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
3 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
3 NEMETH Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
5 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
6 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
7 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
8 KUMAR Eva 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
9 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
10 CHI Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
11 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
12 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
13 ZHU Serene M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
14 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
15 LEE Claire 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
16 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 27% 4%
17 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 16%
18 AZMEH nour 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
19 SONG Angela 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
20 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
21 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 28%
22 NEELAM Navya 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 6%
23 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
24 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
25 LEE Scarlett 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 36%
26 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
27 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
28 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15%
29 BURICEA Ada 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
30 QI Jarynne Valerie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
31 SYKES Elynor 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
32 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
33 IYER Ishana 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 5%
34 DEPOMMIER Isabelle 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
35 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 17%
36 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
36 WANG Victoria 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
38 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
39 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
40 STERR Isabella M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
41 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
42 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 14%
43 JAKEL Alysa C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
44 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 11%
45 WANG Trinity 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
46 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4% -
47 SCHMITT Harper 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
48 MALLAVARPU saanvi 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
49 PATIL Amulya 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 16%
50 LIANG Jingjing 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
51 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
52 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
53 TANG Sze Nga Nicole 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
54 DOUGLAS Marketa F. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 35% 4%
55 BROWN Riley 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 15% 1%
56 HUANG Lanlan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
57 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 4%
58 BLANCO Ariia 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
59 QI Julieanne 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
60 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
61 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 23% 2%
62 AIRES Julia 100% 100% 90% 58% 20% 3%
63 LEE Gloria Y. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
64 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
65 ZHAO Alina 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
66 BUSH emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 55%
67 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 25%
68 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 13%
69 GUAN Isabella 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 5%
70 HABEK Sophia 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
71 XU Serena 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
72 KUMAR Anusha 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
73 WANG Angelina 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
74 PULLEN Ayah 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
75 MENDOZA zoie 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
76 PHUKAN Indra 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
77 CAMAMA Tessa 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 10%
77 SMOTRITSKY Liat 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 1%
79 CHUANG Ramona 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
80 NAIR Supriya 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
81 CHERNIS Liah 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
82 MURPHY Katherine 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 2% -
83 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
84 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
85 GANSER Nicole 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
86 KAUR Manroop 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
87 YIN Gabriela 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
88 ILYAS Ayah 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
89 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
90 WALTER Anna 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
91 MULAGARI Swarasai 100% 98% 74% 33% 7% 1%
92 NGUYEN Ella 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6% -
93 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
94 NGUYEN Jolie T. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 29% 4%
95 WONG Caitlin 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
96 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2% -
97 PILSON Rebecca 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
98 BAWA Jenya 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
99 LISCUM Vivian 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
100 KANG Yenna 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1% -
101 LI Alice 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 13% 1%
102 XU Jessica 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
102 LAI Amanda 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
104 READ Lyla 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
105 CHUNG Penelope 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
106 CHATIKHINE Anastasia 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
107 WANG Selina 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
108 VARAN Kateryna 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 3% -
109 FRANGER Macy 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
110 RUVOLO Arwen 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
111 JAMES Ashley 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
112 HALE Avery 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
113 WRIGHT Madison 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
114 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
115 JORDAN Zoe 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
116 LEE Yeriel 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% 1%
117 KALGAONKAR Arohi 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
118 KING Emily 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
119 TISMENSKY Abigail 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
120 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 25% 3%
121 MEYER Rebecca 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
122 YU Eva 100% 96% 69% 27% 5% - -
123 XU Celina 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12% 1%
124 CHANG Abigail 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
125 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3% -
126 PEI Claire 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
127 BHATT Anisha 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8% 1%
128 KROPP Anne 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
129 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
130 SEREGIN Katya 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
131 KANE Chloe 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
132 NGUYEN Ashley L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
132 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
132 YAO Chloe 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
135 LOZIER Grace 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% -
136 KAMEL Jana 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
137 FOUX Abigail 100% 98% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
138 PATEL Swara 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3% -
139 WEI Sherry 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
140 LIN Laura 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13% 1%
141 HASIM Eurietta 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
142 GLATZ Alesia 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
143 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 7% 1%
144 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 99% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
145 FLITMAN Gabrielle 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
145 STERN Savannah 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
147 AWALEGAONKAR Saina 100% 97% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
148 MADANNAVAR Trisha 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
149 KAUR Jaap 100% 97% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
150 LIANG Angela 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
151 LEE Adelynn 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
152 MCKENNA Analise 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1% -
153 PETROFF Eva 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
154 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 99% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
155 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
156 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2%
157 GAN Shelby 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
158 MASSARO Ava 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1%
159 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
160 TALANDZEVICIUS Sophia 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
161 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
162 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
163 LY Hannah 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
164 DESAI Ela 100% 89% 48% 13% 1% - -
165 ZHAN Clare 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
166 LANE Leah 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
166 DOBROSAVLJEVIĆ Kalina 100% 78% 30% 5% - - -
168 SUN Karolyn 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1% -
169 HAUSHEER Kuncen 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
170 VICKERMAN Aspen 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
171 WANG Emma 100% 96% 72% 33% 9% 1% -
172 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
173 KANASKAR Ila 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 10% 1%
174 WU Michelle 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
175 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
175 DAVIS Jennifer 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
177 SHETH Anayaà 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
178 BINDAS Sigrid 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
179 YERIAN Ayda 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
180 SHERMAN Olivia 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
181 PYE Emily 100% 90% 52% 15% 2% - -
182 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1% -
183 WU Jessica 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
184 STEWART Daphne 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
185 BUKOWSKI Lillian 100% 86% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
186 TISMENSKY Avital 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% - -
187 PAN Angela 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
188 HE Anna 100% 92% 57% 20% 3% -
189 PARK elli 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
190 YUMIACO Nylah 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
191 HILBY Olivia 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
192 ELTERMAN Kate 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
193 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
194 MEYER Rachel 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7% 1%
195 WU Madisen 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
196 ZHAO Yanning 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
197 KOSIM Irene 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
197 LI Yunxuan (Joy) 100% 99% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
197 ZHANG Helen 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
200 WANG Cecilia 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
200 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 91% 48% 13% 2% - -
202 STOY Sophia 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
203 CHEN Alina 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
204 JONES Veronica C. 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
205 JEYOON Lauren 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
205 KRISHNA Rithika 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
207 KENT Laurel 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
207 GUSKA Jenn 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
209 YOUSSEF Caroline 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
209 WORKNEH Lulit 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
211 ZHANG Rose 100% 36% 6% - - - -
212 LIN Isabel 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
213 BI Michelle 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
214 WANG Aria 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
215 BORDIER Siloe 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
216 HU Chloe 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
217 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
218 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
218 SNYDER Kathryn 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% - -
220 LARSEN Natalia 100% 21% 2% - - -
221 LAKE Emma 100% 17% 1% - - - -
221 SHARMA Ananya 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
223 JAQUISH Zoey 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
224 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
224 LEVKOV Maita 100% 20% 2% - - - -
224 STEPHAN Ella Whitney 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
227 POZAS Vida 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
228 LEE Sophia 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
228 CHAKRAPANI Tara 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
230 PATTERSON Liliya 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% - -
231 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 66% 21% 3% - -
232 KANDALA Aanya 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
233 ZHENG Erin 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.