National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Men's Foil

Thursday, July 6, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TALASILA Arush 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
2 SNELL James E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
3 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 73% 40% 11%
3 KIM Brian 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 15%
5 LI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
6 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 34%
7 SHAO Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
8 PARK Ryan 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
9 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
10 FENG Michael 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
11 EDISON Ansel 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
12 JOHNSON Chance 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
13 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
14 MILLER Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
15 CHEZ Nolan 100% 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
16 LEUNG Jin 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
17 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
18 KIM Andy 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
19 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
20 WONG Luke S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
21 CHIN Ryan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
22 WILKINS Mateo 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
23 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
24 AMRANI David 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
25 LAM Nicolas 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
26 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
27 POPE Alexander 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
28 WU Lucas 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
29 MAGALONG William 100% 91% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
30 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
31 WONG Evan 100% 100% 95% 76% 45% 16% 2%
32 BROWN Darius D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 23%
33 HSIAO Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 16%
34 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
35 VACA Ricardo E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
36 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 4%
37 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
38 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
39 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
40 YEE Johnathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 27%
41 FERENCZ Alexander J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 4%
42 SMITH Grant D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
43 MARTIN William 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
44 SETLUR Bhrugu 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
45 XU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
46 KIM Jonah 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
47 REICHEL Ezra 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
48 HOLCOMB Cedric 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
49 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
50 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
51 LEE Jayden 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
52 WEINSTEIN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
53 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
54 ARANA Massimo 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
55 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
56 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
57 GE Daniel 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
58 LI Allen 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2%
59 LANGEN Carter M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24%
60 WANG Rory 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
61 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
62 CLARK Benjamin 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
63 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
64 KENNEDY christo 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
65 WANG Brian 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
66 GETSIN Anthony 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3%
67 WUN Jonathan 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
68 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
69 CHREKY Jacob D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
70 FAN Yuchen 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
71 LIU William 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
72 CAPRA Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
73 BOUSSY Luciano 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
74 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
75 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
76 YANG Dylan 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
77 SURESH Rohan 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
78 SCHEUERMANN Andrew G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
79 WERWA Griffith 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
80 LEE Eugene 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
81 GORDON William L. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
82 COOK Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
83 ZHENG Harrison 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
84 ROBINS Brennan 100% 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
85 MCCOWN Ronan 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
86 GERRISH William 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
87 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1%
88 HARRIS Otto 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
89 LACHAPELLE Cole 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
90 HOLLIS Sean 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
91 JORDON Kaleb W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 49%
92 TULYAG Azim 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
93 WU Trevor 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 16%
94 KANDAGADLA Rishi 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
95 ZAIDI Adil 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
96 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
97 CUTLER Andrew 100% 100% 97% 77% 33% 5%
98 THIYAGARAJAA Ari 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
99 BARRETT Austin 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
100 BREWNER Ethan 100% 73% 20% 2% - -
101 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
102 TEH Ryan 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 9%
103 RUBIN Max 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
104 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
105 PEDERSEN Charles 100% 99% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
106 MOE Annan 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
107 WEISS Mateo 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
108 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
109 MIETTINEN Pyry 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
110 LINDOW Connor 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
111 LINDEMANN Marc 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 8% 1%
112 BOYKO Miles 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
113 TUAN Evan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
114 RNO Kyler 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
115 ZHAO Brandon 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
116 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
117 LU Nathan 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
118 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
119 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 99% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
120 HUNTER Phillip 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
121 BAI Brian 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
122 BLEIL Tyler 100% 95% 74% 41% 15% 3% -
123 YU Stephen 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
124 LIU Xiang 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
125 DURHAM Porter 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
126 KRAMER Ryan 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
127 NEICE William 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
128 BATRA Dev 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
129 BLAM Matthew 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
130 LAO Kevin 100% 98% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
131 FECHTMEYER Theodore 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
132 WOHLERS Trevor 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
133 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
134 SMITH Cooper 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
135 GLADNICK Michael J. 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
136 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
137 MASSIMINO Andrew 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1%
138 MAVANI Krishna 100% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
139 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 8%
140 REDONDO Tomas D. 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% -
141 CHEN Brian 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
142 SANTIAGO Elias 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
143 UPENDER West 100% 94% 59% 21% 4% - -
144 SCHURK Daniel 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
145 RITCHIE Phillip 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
146 REECE Oliver 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
146 DAYAL Vedant 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
148 ARATA Connor 100% 91% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
149 HASBUN Christopher 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
150 MCKEE Calvin 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
151 MODADUGU Aryan 100% 63% 23% 5% - - -
152 FERNANDEZ Rumi 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
152 THOMSON Hyrum 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
154 GRAY Caidan 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1%
155 JURMAN Therin 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
156 WITZ Brandon 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 12%
157 ENOIU Patrick 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
158 STAMMERS Milo 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
159 GONZALEZ Oliver 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% -
160 LEY Diego 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
161 ZHANG Jin 100% 51% 8% 1% - -
162 BHAN Amar 100% 93% 59% 20% 4% - -
162 NADOL Sam 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
164 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
165 CURTIS William K. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
165 HERNANDEZ Marc A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
165 HARROCH Faustin 100% 92% 67% 34% 11% 2% -
168 CHOI Simon 100% 98% 88% 64% 32% 9% 1%
169 LI RunLin 100% 82% 41% 12% 2% - -
170 NOTT Kobi 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
171 BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
171 LITTLE Alex 100% 27% 3% - - - -
173 GADIYARAM Madhav 100% 58% 11% 1% - - -
174 LEE Daniel 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
175 LEE Charles T 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
175 CREBBS Calvin 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
177 TOMASI John 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
177 COSSROW Alex 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
177 JOHNSON Ryder 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
180 COONAN Seamus 100% 82% 41% 12% 2% - -
181 SCOTT Chase 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -
182 TRAUB William 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
182 MOHAMED Ahmed 100% 70% 23% 4% - - -
184 BUI James H. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
185 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 100% 100% 90% 46% 10% 1% -
186 BROWN Jason 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
187 MCCARVILL Cooper 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
188 STORER Alex 100% 99% 88% 42% 9% 1%
189 SOLOPOULOS James 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
190 RODRIGUEZ VINCENT 100% 89% 54% 20% 4% - -
191 SAUCEDO Fernando 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
192 HOLCOMB Michael 100% 55% 16% 3% - - -
193 O'CONNOR Ryan (Ryan O'Connor) D. 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
193 LEHTINEN Axel 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% - -
195 MOYLAN Matthias 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
195 LEE Michael 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
197 PETROV Mikhail 100% 69% 29% 7% 1% - -
197 DULAI Angad 100% 79% 39% 12% 2% - -
197 MILES Greyson 100% 91% 49% 14% 2% - -
200 PAPP Mike 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
200 MORRIS Luke 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
200 BARANOWSKI Philip 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
203 SMITH Charles 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.