National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Women's Épée

Thursday, July 6, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AZMEH nour 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21%
2 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
3 LEE Claire 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
3 LI Fei 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 43% 12%
5 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
6 MUNOZ Andrea H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
7 GAO Judy 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
8 KUMAR Anusha 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
9 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
10 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
11 BROWN Hannah 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
12 BOTNER Olivia 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
13 DU Eiry 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
14 MCBRYAN Teresa N. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19%
15 LANE Leah 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
16 HESS Heidi J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
17 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
18 HEPLER Sarah 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
19 SHAKIR Inaaya 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
20 CHOI Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
21 SYKES Elynor 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
22 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
23 DAYAL Saahira 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
24 SCHULTZ Gillian 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
25 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
26 FERNLUND Helen 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
27 SEREGIN Katya 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
28 OLORVIDA Isabella 100% 99% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
29 LURYE Lina 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
30 LENDIS Gabrielle 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
31 PULLEN Ayah 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
32 CAREY Michele S. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
33 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
34 NICHOLS Amber 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
35 WHITESIDES Ella K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
36 CHANG Chloe 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
37 DAVIS Julia 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
38 MACEDON Gianna 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
39 COLELLA Lauren 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
40 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
41 TANG Sze Nga Nicole 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 29% 5%
42 HILBY Olivia 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% - -
43 VASYAKIN Liana 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
44 MIHILL Margaret 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
45 LIANG Jingjing 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
46 CHATIKHINE Anastasia 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
47 ECHEVERRY Sofia 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
48 TIMMONS Sarah J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
49 LEWIS Sophia 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
50 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2%
51 BHATT Anisha 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
52 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Maia 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
53 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
54 NGUYEN Ashley L. 100% 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1%
55 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
56 NEELAM Neha 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
57 JARUSHI Amnee 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
58 ARAYE Nasro 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
59 PINCHUK Meghan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
60 PRIMES Amanda M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
61 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
62 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
63 CHANG Abigail 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
64 WHITLEY Alexis 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
65 BROWN Riley 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
66 HUANG Lanlan 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 13%
67 KALGAONKAR Arohi 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
68 DUARTE-GARCIA Zoya A. 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 20% 3%
69 CHANG Celine A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
70 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
71 MEYER Rachel 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
72 FRANCIS Elena 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
73 MIINEA Elena 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
73 YOU Joyce 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
73 NOH Rachel 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
76 SAUCEDO Grecia 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
77 OLIVEIRA Giovanna 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
78 DUONG Zoey 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
79 CHAN Allison M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
80 PAN Angela 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
81 NAROTZKY Emma 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
82 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 88% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
82 LAI Amanda 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
84 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 7%
85 SPURLIN Alicen 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
86 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
87 BAWA Jenya 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
88 BENNETT Olivia 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
89 DANG Aria 100% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
90 TONG Lauren 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 4%
91 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
92 YOU Isabel B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
93 ROWLAND May 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
94 HAYDEN Molly 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
95 OPIELA Natalie 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
96 MULAGARI Swarasai 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
97 GUAN Isabella 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
98 SAZONOVA Alexandra 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
99 TAN Jocelyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
100 KNUDSEN Ayda Jane 100% 97% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
101 SEUK Irene 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1%
102 DOUGLAS Marketa F. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
103 WONG Caitlin 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
104 GARIKIPATI Thansi 100% 88% 56% 22% 4% -
105 LIN Victoria T. 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
106 DAVIS Jennifer 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% -
107 LI Charlotte 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
108 BARG Margaret 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
109 XU Celina 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
110 MEYER Rebecca 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
111 GULLY Wren 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
112 HOLLAND Daisy 100% 98% 85% 58% 27% 7% 1%
113 GLATZ Alesia 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
114 BEAMS Alyona 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
115 ZAKAS Anna L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
115 ENRILE Erica 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 2%
117 MAY Courtney 100% 15% 1% - - - -
118 MOYSTON Elizabeth 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% 1%
119 LEWIS Rachel 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
120 KAUR Jaap 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
121 GUSKA Jenn 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
122 FREY Alison 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 7% 1%
123 SANLIKOL Suzan 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
124 POON Desiree 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
125 PYE Emily 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
126 PARSONS Leada 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
127 LU Samantha R. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
128 ZHAO Alina 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
129 FREEMAN Kate 100% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
130 QUINTANILLA Danielle A. 100% 99% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
131 HOOPER Lucy 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
132 HEINRICHS Aaliyah 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
133 GAVILANES Madyson 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
134 BENNETT Vienne 100% 69% 28% 7% 1% - -
134 LORES Alicia 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 8%
136 LEE Samantha X. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
136 HART Jenna 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
138 KRISHNA Rithika 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
139 PARKS Eliana 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
140 MANAUGH Calliope 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% - -
140 LUCENA Giselle 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
142 LOFTIS Hunter 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
143 AGAON Evelyn 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
144 JAMES Ashley 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
145 REYNOLDS Elly 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
146 HASIM Eurietta 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
147 ELKHATEEB Fajr 100% 96% 79% 49% 20% 4% -
148 MANCELL Hope 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
149 NGUYEN Jolie T. 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
150 SINHA Zara 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
151 RALSTON Katherine 100% 51% 14% 2% - - -
152 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
153 AGUNWANI Ebele 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
154 MISRA Tara 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.