National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, July 9, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
2 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
3 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
3 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
5 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
6 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
7 WU Matthew 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
8 MYRAH Devin 100% 98% 84% 53% 22% 5% -
9 SHOURIE Seth 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
10 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
11 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
12 DU Evan 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% 1%
13 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
14 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
15 LEITNER Brek 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
16 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
17 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
18 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
18 KICIMAN Leo 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% < 1%
20 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
21 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
22 DING Max 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
23 PERRY Noah 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 20% 3%
24 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
25 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
26 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 4%
27 MANA Sameer 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
28 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
28 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 26% 4%
30 SHOURIE Neel 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
31 ZHOU Luke 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
32 KONG Ethan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
33 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
34 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
35 HANTOV Adrian 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
36 VEERAVALLI Pranav 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
37 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
38 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
39 KIM Evan 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
40 YAO Aiden 100% 92% 62% 26% 5% -
41 LU Ian 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
42 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 14%
43 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
44 HEADRICK Liam 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
45 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 2%
46 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
47 HUA Nolan 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1%
48 FU Nolan 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
49 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
50 MEHROTRA Darsh 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
51 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
52 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
53 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
54 SMITH Theo 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
55 AZAMOV Samir 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
56 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
57 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 13%
58 LI Stephen 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
59 YUE Bryan 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
60 ISMAILOV Alan 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
61 RAMIREZ Hunter 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
62 YU Brandon 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
63 MBERIA Henry 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
64 LO Stefan 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
65 PURUSHOTHAM Neil 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
66 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6%
67 DANILOV Artur 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
68 SHIM Jae 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
69 LIU Austin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
70 NOOL Aaron 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
71 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
72 CHIANG William 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
73 SHIH Derek 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
74 FRENCH Drake 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
75 WHITE Jackson 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2%
76 WANG Juehan 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
77 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 99% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
78 MA kevin 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
79 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
80 QU RuiTing 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 18% 3%
81 LIN Bryan 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
82 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
83 LIU Xuyao 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
84 CHA Aiden 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
85 JU Shang 100% 82% 44% 15% 3% - -
86 CHEN Tianjun 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
86 GUO Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 81% 53% 22% 4%
88 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
89 VICK Ethan 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
90 AZAMOV Saeed-Azeem 100% 92% 65% 31% 8% 1% -
91 LEE Lucas 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
92 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
93 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
94 BHANDARE Veer 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
95 LEE Joshua 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% -
96 YU Andrew 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
97 WU Jiachen 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 2%
98 YU George 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
99 YI Joshua 100% 100% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
100 FERREIRA DE MELO Martin 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
101 FERNANDEZ William 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 12% 1%
102 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
103 BERNIER Landyn 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
104 TALBOT Jett 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
105 RODRIGUEZ Emiliano 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
106 RAMIREZ Tristan 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
107 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
108 CHEN Christopher 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
109 TJAMALOUKAS Nikolaos 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
110 ZHANG Aiden 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
111 DESAI Adithya 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%
112 LIN Daniel 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
113 WANG Lucas 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
114 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
115 YOON Jonathan 100% 89% 56% 21% 5% 1% -
116 THOMPSON Luca 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
117 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% - -
118 DAVIS Stewart 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
119 LI Vance 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
120 SHAYAKHMETOV Maxim 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
121 MA Weichu 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% 1% -
121 LIU Aiden 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
123 BALLEZA Maximilian 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
124 SHIM Jaeyoo 100% 90% 61% 28% 8% 1% -
125 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
126 KHALID Ilyas 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
127 CHO Joshua 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
128 YU Haoyun 100% 89% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
129 PANUGANTI Neal 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
130 KAPP Eamon 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
131 LEE Joshua 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
132 LIU Yihong 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
133 JONES Blaise P. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
134 LAI Jayden 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
135 MILLER Xavier 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
136 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
137 GAN Samuel 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
138 SHARMA Sahaj 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
139 ZHAO Luke 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
140 YOU Emmanuel 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
141 THOMSON Piers 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
142 WHITE Leonardo 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
143 ROFINO Samuel 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
144 ZHENG Dylan 100% 23% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.