True Focus Weekend Series #1

Cadet Mixed Épée

Saturday, August 19, 2023 at 10:00 AM

True Focus Sports Academy - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 TOYOFUKU Ethan - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
2 LIN Isabel 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
3 WU Steven - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
3 CLAES Thomas - - - 1% 11% 39% 47% 3%
5 MANA Arnav - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
6 LI Yunxuan - - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
7 YAO Geoffrey - - - - 1% 12% 43% 44%
8 WANG Devin 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
9 LI Yunji - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
10 WANG Jessie - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
11 XU Chenyu - 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
12 SHAN Michelle - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2% -
13 GUO Woody - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
14 YU Austin - - 2% 10% 33% 41% 14%
15 MANA Sameer 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% - -
16 LIN Jason 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
17 ZHANG Helen 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% - -
18 LI Nathan 29% 43% 22% 5% - - - -
19 MENG Fina 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
20 LIN Daniel 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
21 YAO Tristan < 1% 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
22 YU Chloe 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.