DCFC Champagne Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, August 20, 2023 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
2 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
3 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
3 CARTER Austin L. 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
5 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
6 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
7 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
8 SINGH Aryaman 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% 1%
9 CAO Brad 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17% 1%
10 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1%
11 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
12 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
13 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
14 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
15 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2% -
16 GREGORY Abram 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
17 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
18 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 6%
19 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 3%
20 BROWN Joshua (Josh) A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
21 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
22 KING Cameron 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
23 HITCHCOCK David 100% 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 6%
24 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
25 HERZ Alexander S. 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
26 CAO Albert 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
27 ALI Farhan 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
28 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
29 MEGGERS Davin 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
30 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
31 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 54% 13% 2% - -
32 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 64% 15% 2% - - -
33 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
34 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
35 PETROW Zoryan 100% 96% 68% 27% 5% 1% -
36 PENG Yue 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
37 KIM Joshua 100% 61% 12% 1% - - -
38 ACKLAND Matthew 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% - -
39 CORRIDON Jack T. 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
40 BABCOCK Alana 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.