The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, September 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CANLAS Nathan - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
2 WOO Christian - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
3 LING Eddie - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
3 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
5 SIU Aiden - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
6 DZHUS Yurii - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
7 PONS Diego 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
8 RENTERIA Emiliano - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
9 DETERING Julian - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
10 DESAI Nalin H. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
11 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
12 KIM John J. 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
13 LE Jacob W. - - 1% 11% 31% 39% 18%
14 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - - 2% 12% 38% 47%
15 PARK Sky 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
16 FOO Raynol - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
17 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 1%
18 WU Alistair - - 8% 28% 38% 22% 5%
19 MYERS Dean - - 2% 15% 35% 35% 13%
20 LI Toby - 6% 27% 41% 22% 4% -
21 AGRAWAL Niki 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
22 DINSAY Kristjan - - 1% 11% 35% 42% 11%
23 LEE Seungwon - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
24 HUANG Jonathan 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
25 GOBBO Alexander - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
25 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
27 NICOLETTI Luca - 1% 6% 21% 38% 28% 6%
28 DEANS Donovan - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
29 LUH Ethan K. - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
30 SHAGIDANYAN German - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
31 KRYLTSOV Michael - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 4%
32 LIPPMAN Sam 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
33 JAIN Aditya - - - 1% 8% 37% 55%
34 RUBIN Max 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
35 VALOUEV Aleksey - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
36 EDISON Ansel 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
37 LI Matthew - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 1%
38 WU Lucas 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
39 MA Bryant - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
40 JORDON Kaleb W. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
41 CHANG Nathan 27% 47% 21% 4% < 1% - -
42 KIM Jonah 7% 35% 37% 17% 4% - -
43 LLIDO Soren - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
44 YI William - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
45 PINCHENG Yao - 6% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
46 GORDON William L. 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
47 LI Samuel - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
48 TUAN Evan 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
49 SMITH Grant D. 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
50 NGUYEN Liam - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
51 PETERSON Lucas 8% 44% 36% 11% 1% - -
52 WANG Ethan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
52 LAM Nicolas 6% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
54 LI Avery Peihong - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
55 KIM Andrew J. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 11%
56 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
56 KIM Daniel Y. - 3% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
58 KIM Aiden 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
59 ZHANG Jacob 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
60 QIU Zhaocheng 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
61 LI Jett 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
62 FANHAIJI Musitafa 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
63 FINNEY Lorenz 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
64 WONG Yuheng Isaac 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2% -
65 HSIAO Nicholas - 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
66 MCCOSH Evin M. - 1% 8% 29% 41% 19% 2%
67 REICHEL Ezra 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
68 OH Jaden - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
69 SETLUR Bhrugu 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
70 SAH Steven 1% 12% 38% 36% 12% 1% -
71 CAJERO Luis O. 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 2% -
72 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. - 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
73 MORTON Joshua 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
74 KUZMAK Michael J. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
75 LEE Jayden 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
76 TULYAG Azim 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
77 BECKER Ethan 36% 46% 16% 2% - - -
78 CHOI Ethan 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
79 WONG Evan 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
80 ANWEILER Nathan 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
81 ZHANG Matthew 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
82 PARK Brandon 14% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
83 JIANG Yehong 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
84 TSAY Jordan R. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
85 RODRIGUEZ VINCENT 45% 47% 7% - - - -
86 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
87 PETROV Mikhail 38% 51% 10% 1% - - -
88 GUO Hairuo 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
89 LIANG Ethan 72% 25% 3% - - - -
89 BLAM Matthew 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
89 LUI Justin 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.