The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, September 3, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 SYKES Elynor 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
3 MANDAP Svetlanna 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
5 BEZUGLAYA Varvara 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
6 CHEN Jingyun 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 4%
7 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 46%
8 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
9 LEE Natasha 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
10 FAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
11 ZOU ZIXI 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
12 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 38%
13 YAO Yilin 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
14 CHA Eugenie 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
15 SUN MANRONG 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
16 BARBARA Camille 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
17 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 7%
18 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 23%
19 DRYSDALE Lita 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 5%
20 PHUKAN Indra 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
21 BUSH emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
22 DUONG Zoey 100% 100% 95% 67% 25% 4%
23 WANG Angelina 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 11%
24 OLORVIDA Isabella 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
25 LENDIS Gabrielle 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
26 KIM Jayna 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
27 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 3%
28 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
29 SHELIN Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 20%
30 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 4%
31 DALEY Keira 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
32 HAU Olivia 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
33 KUKVA Taisiya 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
34 LAI Amanda 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
35 DAYAL Saahira 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
36 HASIM Eurietta 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
37 WANG Victoria 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
38 CAMAMA Tessa 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
39 LEE Samantha X. 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
39 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
41 LIU Baihan 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
42 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 100% 92% 56% 17% 2%
43 CHANG Celine A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
44 LIANG Jingjing 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
45 XU Celina 100% 100% 91% 47% 9% 1%
46 GULLY Wren 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 7% -
47 PYE Emily 100% 90% 52% 15% 2% - -
48 STOMMEL-DIAZ Charly 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
49 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
50 CHANG chaehee 100% 94% 26% 2% - -
51 ENRILE Erica 100% 100% 95% 66% 25% 3%
52 SCANLAN Claire 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
53 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
54 KAUSHISH Sara 100% 100% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
55 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 2% -
56 LIN Isabel 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
57 LEE Yeriel 100% 99% 86% 46% 12% 1% -
58 UM KIM Hyun Hee Lorena 100% 82% 27% 4% - -
59 CHEN Samantha 100% 54% 10% 1% - -
60 GAN Shelby 100% 72% 19% 2% - -
61 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% -
62 BROWN Riley 100% 100% 98% 71% 23% 2%
63 JAMES Ashley 100% 95% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
64 COHEN Shaina 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
65 PATTERSON Liliya 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
66 CHANG Abigail 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
66 MOORADIAN Anya 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
68 BLANCO Ariia 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
69 YOUSSEF Caroline 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
70 ZHANG Rose 100% 40% 6% - - - -
71 LI Yunxuan (Joy) 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
72 LEE Valerie 100% 84% 33% 5% - - -
73 BENNETT Vienne 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
74 SALAZAR Emma 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
75 TSUI Zoe 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
76 NAZARENKO Sasha 100% 9% - - - -
77 CHENG Liwen 100% 35% 3% - - -
78 PADHI Nisha 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
79 CHENG Yiwen 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.