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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIKHONOV Iliya - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
2 SO Lorenzo - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
3 TIKHONOV Daniel - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
3 MODANLOU Navid 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
5 HITCHCOCK David - - - - 7% 43% 50%
6 ROTHKA Spencer J. 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
7 CARTER Austin L. - - - 4% 26% 48% 22%
8 WHEELER Daniel - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 24%
9 ABBOUD Michael - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
10 PENNER Kyle D. - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
11 CARNALL Hunter 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
12 LAM Alan - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
13 CHEMEZOV Trent 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
14 WANG Aiden 5% 33% 39% 18% 4% - -
15 BANNEN Nicholas - 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
16 BLORE David J. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
17 KIM Joshua 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
18 DAN Rex - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 5%
19 YI Nathan 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
20 CHRISTY Peter C. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
21 BLACK Ethan - 3% 16% 38% 37% 6% -
22 YU Jason 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
22 WHEELER Andreas - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
24 SZIEDE Kieran 13% 35% 35% 15% 2% - -
25 CHENH Justin 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
26 ALEXANDER Jacksen 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
27 PETRUNKO Kyrylo 9% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
28 DIAZ Brenna 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
29 KARASICK Andrew 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
30 FORAIDA Khalid 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
31 DAN Chuntao 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
32 CHHU Allen 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
33 BUI Ryan 5% 24% 40% 26% 5% - -
34 HECHT Chance 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
35 WATERS Nathaniel 69% 27% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.