Cardinal Fencing Academy - Sterling, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | TIKHONOV Iliya | V V D D V V | V V V V V | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| 2 | SO Lorenzo | D D V V V V | V V V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 3 | TIKHONOV Daniel | V V D D D D | V V V D | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| 3 | MODANLOU Navid | D D D V V V | V V V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 5 | HITCHCOCK David | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| 6 | ROTHKA Spencer J. | V V D V V V | V V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 7 | CARTER Austin L. | V V V V D D | V V D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 8 | WHEELER Daniel | D V V D V V | V V D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 9 | ABBOUD Michael | V V V V V V | V D | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 10 | PENNER Kyle D. | V V D V V V | V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 11 | CARNALL Hunter | V D V V V D | V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 12 | LAM Alan | D V V V V D | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 13 | CHEMEZOV Trent | D V V V D V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 14 | WANG Aiden | V V V D D V | V D | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 15 | BANNEN Nicholas | V V D D D D | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 16 | BLORE David J. | D D D V D D | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 17 | KIM Joshua | V V D V V V | D | 2.3 | 5 | +2.7 |
| 18 | DAN Rex | D D V V V V | D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 19 | YI Nathan | V V D D V V | D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 20 | CHRISTY Peter C. | V D D V D V | D | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| 21 | BLACK Ethan | D V D V V D | D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 22 | YU Jason | D D V V V D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 22 | WHEELER Andreas | V V V D D D | D | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| 24 | SZIEDE Kieran | D V D D V V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 25 | CHENH Justin | D D D V V V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 26 | ALEXANDER Jacksen | V D V D D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 27 | PETRUNKO Kyrylo | D D V D D V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 28 | DIAZ Brenna | V D D D D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 29 | KARASICK Andrew | D V D V D D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 30 | FORAIDA Khalid | D D V D D D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 31 | DAN Chuntao | D V D D D D | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 32 | CHHU Allen | D D D D D D | V D | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| 33 | BUI Ryan | D D V D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 34 | HECHT Chance | V D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 35 | WATERS Nathaniel | D D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.