Blade Runner ROC RJC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Saturday, November 23, 2019 at 11:30 AM

La Jolla, CA - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	REDDY Shreya	1%	9%	26%	35%	23%	6%
2	CAO Stephanie X.	-	1%	9%	27%	40%	23%
3	MILLER Tiffany D.	1%	5%	19%	35%	31%	10%
3	KONG Vera	-	-	1%	5%	20%	41%	33%
5	SHIN Andrea Y.	2%	17%	35%	31%	13%	2%	-
6	DESAI Maya D.	3%	15%	32%	32%	15%	3%
6	VESTEL Mira B.	4%	18%	33%	30%	13%	2%
8	HILL Julia W.	1%	8%	24%	35%	25%	7%
9	DOHERTY Maverick L.	-	2%	13%	33%	36%	15%
10	MARSEE Samantha	2%	13%	31%	34%	17%	3%
11	COIMBRA Miya Y.	-	3%	20%	37%	29%	9%	1%
12	CHIN Erika J.	-	-	1%	7%	24%	41%	27%
13	LACSON Sarah	1%	5%	20%	35%	30%	10%
14	YAP Madeline	-	3%	15%	34%	34%	13%	2%
15	ANDRES Katherine A.	2%	14%	31%	33%	17%	3%
16	TANG Catherine H.	2%	12%	29%	35%	19%	4%
17	CHAN Audrey	-	2%	13%	32%	34%	16%	3%
17	MOZHAEVA MARIA	-	1%	8%	26%	38%	24%	5%
19	LEE Alexandra B.	-	-	-	4%	19%	42%	34%
20	SHEN Sarah	1%	8%	24%	34%	24%	8%	1%
21	IYER Mohini R.	1%	22%	39%	27%	9%	1%	-
22	LEE Erin Y.	10%	31%	35%	19%	5%	-
23	KONG Isabel	3%	18%	33%	30%	13%	2%
24	DUNLAP Allison N.	1%	9%	26%	36%	23%	6%
25	ERIKSON Kira R.	5%	22%	36%	27%	9%	1%
26	TENG Christine Renmei	-	4%	18%	33%	30%	13%	2%
27	CODY Alexandra C.	-	2%	12%	30%	35%	18%	3%
28	KIM Emily	-	8%	28%	37%	21%	5%	-
29	CHOU Dana C.	3%	18%	34%	30%	13%	2%
30	SEAL Julie T.	2%	12%	29%	34%	19%	4%
31	ROGERS Pauline E.	23%	41%	27%	8%	1%	-
32	KIM Catherine	-	1%	6%	23%	37%	27%	7%
33	XU Ellen	4%	19%	34%	29%	12%	2%
34	GULATI Ria	1%	6%	22%	37%	27%	7%
35	GEYER Carolina M.	1%	17%	37%	31%	12%	2%	-
36	LAMBERT Jasmine M.	-	1%	7%	24%	38%	26%	6%
37	ULIBARRI Nevaeh L.	18%	37%	30%	12%	2%	-
38	BUHAY Rachel T.	2%	12%	27%	33%	20%	6%	1%
39	PLONKA Kaley V.	8%	43%	36%	12%	2%	-	-
40	TOM Kristen Noelle C.	2%	13%	31%	34%	17%	3%
41	ABOUDAHER Janna A.	15%	35%	32%	14%	3%	-
42	PATEL Riya	19%	38%	29%	11%	2%	-
43	RAHIM Alina O.	68%	28%	4%	-	-	-	-
44	GOMES Gisela	79%	19%	2%	-	-	-	-
45	ORICCHIO Madeleine	30%	43%	21%	5%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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