Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BRODSKY Julian - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
2 DODIN David - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
3 MACARTY Jordan T. - - - - 6% 32% 62%
3 SAVORETTI Francesco - - - 1% 6% 34% 59%
5 TRULL A.J. - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
6 ZHAO Zidong - 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
7 KIM Tei D. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
8 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 1% 8% 24% 34% 23% 8% 1%
9 WONG King-Yee - - 3% 18% 41% 33% 5%
10 SHA Michael - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
11 SAVORETTI Pietro - 1% 7% 25% 40% 24% 3%
12 SETO Jing 1% 11% 31% 38% 17% 2%
13 MEN Junda - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
14 PALLADINO Ben T. - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 3%
15 BAJAJ Nakul 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
16 YU Samuel 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
17 XI Benjamin - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
18 LIU Adam - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 6%
19 ZHANG Dinghao - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
20 ZHAI Avalo - 1% 9% 32% 41% 16%
21 SVERDLOV Seth - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
22 JIANG Matthew - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
23 LAI Boden - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
24 XIE Brandon - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 8%
25 WONG Maximus 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
26 JONELEIT Aidan - 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 1%
27 SONG Troy - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 6%
28 DOUBOV Andrew - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
29 KARIMOV Amir 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
30 JIANG ryan - - 1% 10% 29% 41% 19%
31 OKUN Benjamin - 6% 22% 38% 26% 7% -
32 PAN Anthony - 5% 24% 41% 24% 5% -
33 MASTAKOURIS Petros-Stone - 1% 7% 27% 41% 22% 2%
34 AHMED Mohsen 15% 36% 33% 13% 3% < 1% -
35 FENG Shang 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
36 SCHAUER Oliver 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
37 GOON Tristan Yang - 3% 17% 34% 32% 12% 2%
38 KIM Henry 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
39 PETROV Niki A. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 5%
40 WHITE Aidan 55% 35% 8% 1% - - -
41 WANG Xiangdong - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
42 LI Jade 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
43 KANG Eunchan 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
44 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
45 TRAN Spencer - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
46 LIU Jeremiah W. - 3% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
47 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
48 HO Ivan 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
49 LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
50 YAO Jack 1% 10% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
51 WOLFORD Benjamin 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
52 MASSE Jack 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
53 PETERSEN Zachary 1% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
54 TESFAYE Elias 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
55 SPRINGER Elijah 1% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
56 COLÓN Atum 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
57 OTTAVIANO Aaron 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
58 MASSE Dean 45% 43% 11% 1% - - -
59 WARD Kofi 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
60 KELLEY Hayden 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
61 ORESKOVIC Olivier 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
62 WOOD Emmett 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
63 BRADSHAW Carter 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 6% -
64 GINSBURG Robbie 23% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
65 ZHOU Anping 22% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
66 CHEN Allen 13% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
67 URBAN Leo 76% 22% 2% - - - -
68 ALAM Rajan 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
69 HALL Miles 22% 49% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.