Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
2 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
5 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
6 ZHAO Zidong 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 20% 2%
7 KIM Tei D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
8 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
9 WONG King-Yee 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 5%
10 SHA Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
11 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
12 SETO Jing 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
13 MEN Junda 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
14 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 24% 3%
15 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
16 YU Samuel 100% 99% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
17 XI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
18 LIU Adam 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
19 ZHANG Dinghao 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 27% 4%
20 ZHAI Avalo 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
21 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
22 JIANG Matthew 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
23 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
24 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
25 WONG Maximus 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
26 JONELEIT Aidan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 1%
27 SONG Troy 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 6%
28 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
29 KARIMOV Amir 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
30 JIANG ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
31 OKUN Benjamin 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 7% -
32 PAN Anthony 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 6% -
33 MASTAKOURIS Petros-Stone 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 2%
34 AHMED Mohsen 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% < 1% -
35 FENG Shang 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
36 SCHAUER Oliver 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
37 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 14% 2%
38 KIM Henry 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
39 PETROV Niki A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
40 WHITE Aidan 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
41 WANG Xiangdong 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
42 LI Jade 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
43 KANG Eunchan 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
44 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
45 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
46 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
47 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
48 HO Ivan 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% - -
49 LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
50 YAO Jack 100% 99% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
51 WOLFORD Benjamin 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
52 MASSE Jack 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
53 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 99% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
54 TESFAYE Elias 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
55 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 99% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
56 COLÓN Atum 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
57 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
58 MASSE Dean 100% 55% 12% 1% - - -
59 WARD Kofi 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
60 KELLEY Hayden 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
61 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
62 WOOD Emmett 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1%
63 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% -
64 GINSBURG Robbie 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
65 ZHOU Anping 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
66 CHEN Allen 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
67 URBAN Leo 100% 24% 2% - - - -
68 ALAM Rajan 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
69 HALL Miles 100% 78% 28% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.