The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Blade Runner ROC RJC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, November 24, 2019 at 2:00 PM

La Jolla, CA - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GAO Aretha R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
2 WU Amelia 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
3 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
3 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
5 BEIHOLD Emily M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
6 TIKHONOVA Julia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
7 KWON Athina 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
8 BROOKS Tean R. 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
9 BEI Karen 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
10 BEITTEL Chloe F. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
11 SMIK Leonie A. 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
11 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
13 LAN Alice S. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
14 ZMURK Emma M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18%
15 MUNOZ Andrea H. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
16 WILEY Erica 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
17 YEU Irene 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
18 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
19 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
20 LAVERY Chloe K. 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
21 WOLF Isabella A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 4%
22 HARRISON Amelia H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
23 FILIPPOV Nika D. 100% 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2%
24 DINGMAN Amanda 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
25 MARSH Janet L. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
26 BRILL Sophie 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
27 RASMUSSEN Ashelee 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
28 SOIN Anika A. 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
29 SIKDAR Ishani 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
30 ERTAS Eileen 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1%
31 GERARDIN Marie 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% -
32 SINHA Zara 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
33 CHIEM Karen 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
34 RUSSELL Renata 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
35 KWON Tiara 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
36 QURESHI Aafreen 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
37 DANIEL Olivia 100% 98% 78% 39% 10% 1%
38 SHAMSIAN Shaya 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
39 MOHABIR Ariane 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
40 LEE Kaitlyn M. 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
41 WANG Nora 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
42 COBLE Avery L. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
43 PRIMES Amanda M. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
44 HAWKINS Laura A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13% 1%
45 BARON Sabina 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
46 ZHOU Emily 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
47 FILIPPOV NEMETH Victoria 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
48 DUNBAR Breck L. 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
49 HEPLER Sarah 100% 45% 10% 1% - -
50 LAU Brynn Mackenzie 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
51 JIANG Corina 100% 98% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
52 ZHANG mickey 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
53 RUSSELL Alison 100% 97% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
54 RICH Caroline B. 100% 97% 69% 30% 8% 1% -
55 LEE Tsz Ying 100% 32% 4% - - - -
56 CHIMIENTI Michele 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
57 PARKER Jacquie D. 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
58 GNANASEKAT Arti 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.