Air Force ROC (DV1A, DV2, VET) & RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Air Force Cadet Field House - Air Force Academy, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EMARA Omar 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
2 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 24%
3 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31% 5%
5 GAO Zachary 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
6 LI Patrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
7 PETERSON Matthew 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
8 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
9 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
10 MCCOWN Ronan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25% 3%
11 ELLISON Harper F. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 2%
12 KIM Ian 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
13 KENT V David 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
14 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
15 CHOI San 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 2%
16 WU Alistair 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
17 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 17%
18 HARR Carver 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
19 SPITLER Ansel 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
20 VRAPI Dorian A. 100% 99% 92% 64% 21% 3% -
21 PRAKASH Hari 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
22 WONG Ethan 100% 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
23 MARENCIK Miles 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
24 DANIELS Jonah 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
25 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 95% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
25 SINHA Zaan 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
27 MCADOO Declan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
28 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
29 MALLON Jaxson 100% 100% 87% 49% 13% 2% -
30 MILLER Mason 100% 15% 1% - - - -
31 EMERSON Zachary 100% 24% 2% - - -
32 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 84% 42% 9% 1% - -
33 HENSLEY Roran 100% 99% 80% 42% 12% 1%
34 YU Austin 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
35 PAINTER Noah 100% 97% 64% 22% 3% - -
36 BROOKS Justin 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
37 MILEY Walker 100% 96% 55% 16% 2% - -
38 MCDONALD Connor 100% 87% 50% 14% 1% - -
39 ZHOU Austin 100% 88% 52% 18% 4% - -
40 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 35% 5% - - - -
41 WACHS Bryce 100% 15% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.