The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Junior Men's Foil

Friday, October 6, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LING XIANGQIAN - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
2 LING Eddie - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
3 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - - - 5% 28% 66%
3 NICOLETTI Luca - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
5 DERRICK Blake - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
6 RAJ Jay - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
7 LAM Nicolas - 7% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
8 CORTRIGHT Skipper - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
9 CO Dylan - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
9 RASMUSSEN Sage - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
11 KIM Jackson - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
12 BORG Matthew 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
13 LI Matthew - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 13%
14 YI William - - 6% 28% 40% 21% 4%
15 WANG Ethan - - 2% 16% 38% 34% 10%
16 QIU Zhaocheng 1% 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1%
17 LO Preston - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
18 MYERS Dean - - 1% 7% 28% 42% 22%
19 LIU William - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 4%
20 KIM Daniel Y. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
21 PARK Rion - 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
22 WU Trevor - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
23 LISONDRA Niko - - 1% 12% 35% 39% 12%
24 SMITH Grant D. - 2% 9% 27% 37% 22% 3%
25 FUKUDA Diego - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
26 SCHIENEMAN Valentine - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 2%
27 PONS Diego - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
28 TUAN Evan 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
29 ZHOU Ryan 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
30 SAH Steven - 3% 29% 41% 21% 4% -
31 LIU Zixian (Aaron) - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
32 GORDON William L. 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
33 LI Toby - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
34 LAK Isaac - - 2% 16% 38% 34% 10%
35 ZHANG Jacob - 1% 17% 39% 32% 10% 1%
36 CHOI Benjamin 1% 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
37 LI Jett - 3% 22% 40% 26% 7% 1%
38 CHEN Matthew 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
39 RUBIN Max 1% 16% 36% 31% 13% 2% -
40 LIN Youlong - 1% 6% 23% 40% 26% 5%
41 YUE Jackson 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
42 KIM Harrison - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
43 ZHONG Maxwell 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
44 SETLUR Bhrugu - - 9% 32% 39% 17% 2%
44 BAE Eugene 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
46 HUANG Jonathan - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
47 ORNELAS Matteo 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
48 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. - - 5% 20% 39% 29% 7%
49 LING Carson Jr 8% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
50 LI Richard 3% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
51 UPENDER West 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
52 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
53 HSIAO Nicholas - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
54 FLANAGAN Miles 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
55 TSAY Jordan R. 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
56 PETROV Mikhail 37% 42% 18% 3% - - -
56 CHANG Nathan 11% 37% 35% 14% 2% - -
58 PETERSON Lucas 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
59 ZHANG Aaron - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
60 MIETTINEN Pyry 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
61 REICHEL Ezra 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
62 DUNLAP Ezra 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
63 COONAN Seamus 20% 53% 24% 3% - - -
64 ZHOU Aiden 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
65 BECKER Ethan 21% 49% 25% 5% - - -
66 PARKER Isaiah 1% 12% 33% 35% 15% 3% -
67 CHAN Joseph 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
68 GREENEBAUM Oliver 3% 22% 49% 22% 4% - -
68 AUYEUNG Isaac 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
70 DUNCANSON Myles 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
71 KAISER Lucas 22% 62% 15% 1% - - -
72 WOO Noah 54% 39% 7% - - - -
73 XU Jiajun 51% 41% 8% 1% - - -
74 YUAN Jonathan 68% 31% 2% - - - -
75 KALAMAS Nikolas 16% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
76 KIM Nico 7% 36% 38% 16% 3% - -
77 LIANG Ethan 77% 20% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.