AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Junior Men's Foil

Friday, October 6, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LING XIANGQIAN 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
2 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
3 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
5 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
6 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
7 LAM Nicolas 100% 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% -
8 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
9 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
9 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
11 KIM Jackson 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
12 BORG Matthew 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 3% -
13 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
14 YI William 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 25% 4%
15 WANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
16 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
17 LO Preston 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
18 MYERS Dean 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
19 LIU William 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 4%
20 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 8%
21 PARK Rion 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
22 WU Trevor 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
23 LISONDRA Niko 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 12%
24 SMITH Grant D. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 25% 3%
25 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
26 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
27 PONS Diego 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
28 TUAN Evan 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
29 ZHOU Ryan 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
30 SAH Steven 100% 100% 96% 67% 26% 4% -
31 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
32 GORDON William L. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
33 LI Toby 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
34 LAK Isaac 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 10%
35 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 99% 82% 43% 11% 1%
36 CHOI Benjamin 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
37 LI Jett 100% 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1%
38 CHEN Matthew 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
39 RUBIN Max 100% 99% 83% 47% 16% 3% -
40 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 5%
41 YUE Jackson 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
42 KIM Harrison 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
43 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
44 SETLUR Bhrugu 100% 100% 100% 90% 58% 19% 2%
44 BAE Eugene 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 4% -
46 HUANG Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
47 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
48 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
49 LING Carson Jr 100% 92% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
50 LI Richard 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
51 UPENDER West 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
52 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
53 HSIAO Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
54 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 86% 48% 15% 3% - -
55 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
56 PETROV Mikhail 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
56 CHANG Nathan 100% 89% 51% 16% 2% - -
58 PETERSON Lucas 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
59 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
60 MIETTINEN Pyry 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
61 REICHEL Ezra 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
62 DUNLAP Ezra 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
63 COONAN Seamus 100% 80% 27% 3% - - -
64 ZHOU Aiden 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
65 BECKER Ethan 100% 79% 30% 6% 1% - -
66 PARKER Isaiah 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
67 CHAN Joseph 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
68 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 97% 76% 26% 4% - -
68 AUYEUNG Isaac 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
70 DUNCANSON Myles 100% 96% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
71 KAISER Lucas 100% 78% 16% 1% - - -
72 WOO Noah 100% 46% 7% - - - -
73 XU Jiajun 100% 49% 8% 1% - - -
74 YUAN Jonathan 100% 32% 2% - - - -
75 KALAMAS Nikolas 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
76 KIM Nico 100% 93% 57% 19% 3% - -
77 LIANG Ethan 100% 23% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.