AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Kenneth - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 13%
2 WANG Joey - - - 1% 13% 87%
3 MEHROTRA Neel - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
3 PARK Sangwook - - - - 5% 34% 61%
5 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) - - 1% 5% 19% 40% 36%
5 ZHANG Albert - - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
7 DENG haoyu - - 1% 4% 18% 40% 37%
8 DOAN Christopher - - 1% 8% 29% 41% 21%
9 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
10 RONG Gordon - - 3% 20% 44% 33%
11 TUBALTSEV Evan - - 1% 6% 28% 50% 15%
12 LI Duke - - - - 4% 29% 67%
13 LEE Daniel 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
14 DAI Steven (Chengwen) - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
15 WU Allen - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
16 FU Nolan - 3% 16% 39% 34% 9%
17 WANG Devin 1% 7% 25% 40% 24% 3%
18 GACIOCH Noah - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
19 MULCAHY Sebastian - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
20 SU Samuel 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
21 LU Ian - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
22 VAN JAARSVELD Leo - 5% 19% 36% 30% 10%
23 XUE Michael - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
24 LIU Xuyao 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
25 ROBERTS Arthur - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
26 YAO Tristan - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
27 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
28 LIU Max 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
29 WANG Jiacheng 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
30 WOOLCOCK Cash 10% 35% 39% 15% 1% -
31 NAIR Sujit - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
32 DU Evan - 3% 19% 40% 30% 8% -
33 ZHANG Luqi 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
34 LIU Zicheng - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
35 MA Nolan - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
36 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) - 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
37 REICHMANN Theo - 1% 9% 32% 41% 16% 1%
38 WU Nathan - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
39 ZHANG Sean - - - 2% 12% 42% 45%
40 WONG Alexander - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
41 KIM Evan - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
42 MA Ciel - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
43 LEE Joshua 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
44 GUO Luke 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
45 KIM Julian - 2% 10% 30% 39% 18% 1%
45 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
47 XIE andrew 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
48 NGUYEN Ethan 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
49 DING Max - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
50 WONG Vansen 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
51 RAHMAN Ali - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 20%
52 MANA Sameer 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
53 SRIKANTH Hariharan 2% 14% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
54 ENG Kyler - - 5% 20% 39% 31% 6%
55 RONG Marcus 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
56 GREENMAN Duke 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
57 LUO Alvin Y. 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
57 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
59 LYSENKO Timofei 3% 18% 36% 32% 11% -
59 YAKOVYSHENKO Michael Alec 11% 35% 38% 15% 1% -
61 GORDON David - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
62 ZHU Owen 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
63 WANG Lucas 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
64 MOSLEY Wally 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
65 WU MiEr - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 2%
66 TANG Michael - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
67 LIN Daniel 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
68 CHEN Aiden - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
69 YU Brandon 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
70 KLINKNER Charlie 9% 33% 36% 18% 4% - -
71 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 3% 17% 32% 29% 15% 4% -
72 LI Stephen - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
73 SCHIPPER Johann 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
74 SHOURIE Neel 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3% -
75 QUAN Leo - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
76 HIGGINS Karl - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
77 LIU Aiden - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
78 MOU Jaydon 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
79 JAMES Kaden 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
79 ZHAO Luke 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
81 YU Haoyun 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
82 WONG Aaron 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
83 PANUGANTI Neal 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
84 NARAYANUN Advay 23% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
85 HARRIS Hayden 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
86 LEE Joshua 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1% -
87 LI Bryan 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
88 NICZEWICZ Charles 8% 39% 37% 14% 2% - -
89 WANG Kyle 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
90 CHAN Calvin 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
91 CHEN Aaran 1% 21% 42% 28% 7% 1%
92 NGUYEN Ethan 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
93 LI Grayson - 2% 18% 49% 31% 1%
94 MA kevin 2% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2% -
95 LO Esra 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% - -
96 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
97 BALUCAN Caelus 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
98 SHOURIE Seth 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
99 FERRIERE Theo 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
100 HUA Nolan 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
100 MAZAHERI Theodore 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% - -
102 HU Charles 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
103 YE Andrew 14% 39% 34% 11% 2% - -
104 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
105 BALUCAN Gabriel 2% 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
106 HOLDEN Harrison 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
107 YU Alex 27% 45% 23% 4% - -
108 CHU Clayton 64% 31% 5% - - - -
109 YOON Ian 49% 38% 11% 1% - - -
110 LIU Daniel 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
111 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 14% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
112 LO Stefan 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
112 DESHPANDE Arihant 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
114 ZHANG William 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
115 LEE Lucas 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.