AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
2 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
3 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 61%
5 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 36%
5 ZHANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
7 DENG haoyu 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
8 DOAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
9 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
10 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
11 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 15%
12 LI Duke 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
13 LEE Daniel 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
14 DAI Steven (Chengwen) 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
15 WU Allen 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
16 FU Nolan 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
17 WANG Devin 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 3%
18 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 14% 2%
19 MULCAHY Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
20 SU Samuel 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
21 LU Ian 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
22 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
23 XUE Michael 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
24 LIU Xuyao 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
25 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
26 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
27 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
28 LIU Max 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
29 WANG Jiacheng 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
30 WOOLCOCK Cash 100% 90% 55% 16% 1% -
31 NAIR Sujit 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
32 DU Evan 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% -
33 ZHANG Luqi 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
34 LIU Zicheng 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
35 MA Nolan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
36 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
37 REICHMANN Theo 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 18% 1%
38 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 16%
39 ZHANG Sean 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
40 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 11%
41 KIM Evan 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 19% 3%
42 MA Ciel 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
43 LEE Joshua 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
44 GUO Luke 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
45 KIM Julian 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19% 1%
45 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
47 XIE andrew 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
48 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5% -
49 DING Max 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
50 WONG Vansen 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
51 RAHMAN Ali 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 20%
52 MANA Sameer 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
53 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
54 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 36% 6%
55 RONG Marcus 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
56 GREENMAN Duke 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
57 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
57 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
59 LYSENKO Timofei 100% 97% 78% 43% 11% -
59 YAKOVYSHENKO Michael Alec 100% 89% 55% 17% 1% -
61 GORDON David 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
62 ZHU Owen 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
63 WANG Lucas 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
64 MOSLEY Wally 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
65 WU MiEr 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
66 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
67 LIN Daniel 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
68 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
69 YU Brandon 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
70 KLINKNER Charlie 100% 91% 58% 22% 5% - -
71 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
72 LI Stephen 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
73 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
74 SHOURIE Neel 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
75 QUAN Leo 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 2%
76 HIGGINS Karl 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
77 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
78 MOU Jaydon 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
79 JAMES Kaden 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
79 ZHAO Luke 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
81 YU Haoyun 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
82 WONG Aaron 100% 95% 75% 43% 15% 3% -
83 PANUGANTI Neal 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
84 NARAYANUN Advay 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
85 HARRIS Hayden 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
86 LEE Joshua 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 1% -
87 LI Bryan 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
88 NICZEWICZ Charles 100% 92% 53% 16% 2% - -
89 WANG Kyle 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
90 CHAN Calvin 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
91 CHEN Aaran 100% 99% 78% 35% 8% 1%
92 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
93 LI Grayson 100% 100% 98% 81% 32% 1%
94 MA kevin 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2% -
95 LO Esra 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
96 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
97 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 98% 85% 58% 26% 6% 1%
98 SHOURIE Seth 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
99 FERRIERE Theo 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
100 HUA Nolan 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
100 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
102 HU Charles 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
103 YE Andrew 100% 86% 47% 12% 2% - -
104 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
105 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 98% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
106 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
107 YU Alex 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
108 CHU Clayton 100% 36% 5% - - - -
109 YOON Ian 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
110 LIU Daniel 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
111 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
112 LO Stefan 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
112 DESHPANDE Arihant 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
114 ZHANG William 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
115 LEE Lucas 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.