Albert Chikayev Memorial ROC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 14, 2019 at 11:00 AM

Hackensack, NJ - Hackensack, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	HOOSHI Jayden C.	-	-	-	-	4%	29%	66%
2	WU Alexander	-	3%	15%	35%	35%	12%
3	RUSADZE Nickolas	-	-	-	1%	9%	37%	53%
3	LI Eric	-	-	1%	9%	39%	52%
5	TOLBA Abdelrahman	-	-	-	1%	13%	42%	43%
6	MARX Jackson L.	-	-	-	1%	9%	39%	51%
7	XIANG Derrick	-	-	4%	28%	43%	21%	3%
8	LIN James G.	-	-	3%	17%	40%	34%	5%
9	PO Oliver	-	-	2%	15%	38%	36%	8%
10	TRAUGOT Owen G.	-	2%	17%	41%	33%	7%
11	GARCIA Sebastian R.	-	2%	11%	30%	39%	19%
12	WANG mason	-	2%	19%	47%	26%	5%	-
13	CHEN Kyle P.	-	-	-	8%	35%	45%	13%
14	AUGUSTINE Aaron A.	4%	21%	36%	28%	10%	1%
15	WANG Jackson	-	1%	8%	31%	40%	18%	2%
16	ZHEN Ethan	-	-	1%	9%	33%	42%	14%
17	XIAO Benjamin	-	1%	11%	32%	38%	16%	1%
18	LEE Jacob J	-	2%	16%	39%	33%	10%	1%
19	LI Jinghua E.	-	4%	24%	45%	24%	3%
20	LIU Ryan	15%	45%	33%	7%	-	-
21	XU Ethan	-	-	6%	34%	41%	16%	2%
22	LI Aaron	2%	13%	31%	34%	17%	3%
23	SHAO Eric	-	8%	37%	38%	15%	2%	-
24	LIEW Jeremy K.	-	-	2%	17%	45%	31%	6%
25	JIE WanYue	56%	37%	7%	-	-	-	-
26	DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J.	3%	18%	40%	30%	9%	1%	-
27	ARCE Andrew W.	10%	44%	38%	7%	-	-	-
28	GUO Justin	15%	38%	32%	13%	2%	-
29	CHENG Ethan	-	3%	19%	39%	30%	8%	1%
30	ZHU Brandan	20%	56%	21%	3%	-	-	-
31	PARK Joseph	12%	42%	38%	8%	1%	-	-
32	BANG Ian	61%	35%	4%	-	-	-	-
33	LEE Eugene	15%	52%	29%	4%	-	-	-
34	MALHAM Andrew	25%	45%	24%	5%	-	-	-
35	WEI Qian	3%	18%	37%	31%	10%	1%
36	WANG Julang	4%	26%	48%	19%	2%	-	-
37	LI Allen	31%	46%	20%	3%	-	-	-
38	BANG Sian	46%	42%	11%	1%	-	-	-
39	CHOI Eugene	44%	43%	12%	1%	-	-
40	HOSANAGAR Ninad	11%	33%	35%	17%	3%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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