D & Under Epee/Foil

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 14, 2023 at 6:00 PM

South Denver Fencing Academy - Centennial, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FERRELL-CARRETEY Elliot 100% 100% 99% 85% 45% 9%
2 ERKENBECK Nathan M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
3 ZHOU Austin 100% 95% 62% 20% 3% < 1%
3 MUENKE Magnus 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 30%
5 REED Joshua K. 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
6 FREEMAN Katherine 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
7 BINCZYK Adam 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 9%
8 EMERSON Zachary 100% 95% 59% 13% 1% -
9 WHEELER Luke C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 26%
10 WANG Emma 100% 83% 43% 9%
11 MILANOV Vihren 100% 81% 36% 5%
12 AGGELER Donovan 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 9%
13 SHADE Nadine 100% 76% 12% 1% - -
14 WARD Zachary 100% 97% 75% 29%
15 RAYNER Jack 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
16 HOLLOWAY IMRIE Colin 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
17 SMITH Darius 100% 93% 57% 17% 2% -
18 GEISLER Grahm 100% 86% 46% 10%
19 BROOKS Justin 100% 100% 97% 69% 27% 4%
20 STOY Sophia 100% 83% 47% 15% 3% -
21 HARTMEYER Carl 100% 98% 84% 46% 11% 1%
22 SIMOES Shonali 100% 46% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.