The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Duel at Dallas Div1A/2/Vet ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fencing Institute of Texas, Inc. - Carrollton, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAISONET-GUZMAN Hector E. - - - 2% 23% 75%
2 MOLCHAN Yury - - - 1% 14% 85%
3 REAGAN Dustin R. - - - - - 4% 96%
3 SANCHEZ Emanuel - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
5 WELDON Benjamin - 2% 21% 54% 20% 2%
6 PARKER Isaiah 1% 16% 39% 33% 11% 1%
7 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. - 5% 21% 42% 30% 2%
8 PLAISANCE Louis - - < 1% 6% 40% 53%
9 CARDENAS Lucas - 5% 21% 39% 30% 6% -
10 LUEBBE Jost - - 2% 18% 55% 26%
11 RIBAUDO David J. 1% 9% 33% 41% 15% 1%
12 VAUGHN Matthew (Manny) E. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
13 EMMERT JP 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
14 SAYLOR Harrison G. - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
15 PHAM Sawyer T. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
16 MORA Johan - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12% -
17 BRUS Brian V. - 1% 11% 34% 41% 14%
18 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 3% 28% 51% 16% 1% -
19 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
20 GRAY Connor W. - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
21 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
22 MCMAHAN Christopher D. 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
23 ELLISOR Drayten - 8% 31% 39% 19% 3%
24 KARIDIS-SCHNEIDER Samuel 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
25 POOLE James M. 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
26 HERNANDEZ Cole F. 1% 25% 42% 25% 6% -
27 LEE Nathan 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
28 TALLEY Blake 8% 32% 39% 18% 4% - -
29 TIEMANN Landen 2% 14% 36% 36% 12% -
30 MORRIS Quentin 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% -
31 DADE MAXIMUS 17% 52% 28% 4% - -
32 LU Haoyang 57% 37% 6% - - -
33 GRINBERG Ethan 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
34 VILLAREAL Quentin 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4% -
35 BARTON Christian 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
36 DADE Augustus 85% 14% 1% - - -
37 ZANKOWSKI Corey 14% 40% 35% 10% 1% -
38 NEFF Allen 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.