Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Men's Foil

Friday, November 24, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
2 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
3 LU Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
3 CHEN kenneth 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% 1%
5 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
6 LU Jingyi 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
7 MO Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
8 KO Caleb 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
9 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
10 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
11 YANG Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
12 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
13 CHANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
14 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
15 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
16 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
17 PARK William 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
18 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
19 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 10%
20 ZHANG Gavin 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
21 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19% 1%
22 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
23 LI Lucas 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
24 NABASSOUA Djibril 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 14% 1%
25 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
26 ZHANG Hanru 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
27 KUO Phineas 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
28 BAI Austin 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
29 PAN Ethan 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
30 XU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
31 JIN Andy 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
32 YAVENDITTI William 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
33 REN Ryan 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
34 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 14%
35 ZHUANG Disheng (Eddie) 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
36 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
37 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
38 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
39 QIAN Zekai 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
40 LEE Thomas 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
41 LIU Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 3%
42 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
43 CHANG Parker 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
44 GUGALA Frank 100% 98% 82% 48% 14% 1%
45 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
46 WANG Tiger 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
47 TAN Charlie 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 8%
48 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5%
49 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
50 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15% 1%
51 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 14% 1%
52 TANG Royce 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
53 SHIN Noah 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%
54 WANG Ancen 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
55 YANG Steve 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 1%
56 MA Matthew 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
57 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
58 BAS Jonathan 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
59 ZENG Albert 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
60 PAN Howard Haoran 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
61 ARORA Maximilian Andras A. 100% 96% 71% 34% 10% 1% -
62 LEE Joshua 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
63 OH Joshua 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
63 KIM Daniel 100% 97% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
65 LI Jayden 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
66 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 10%
67 CHEN Steven 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 11%
68 ZHANG Ethan 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
69 BHARDWAJ Ranbir 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
70 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
71 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
72 TANG Michael 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
73 SIU Max 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
73 CAO Joshua 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
75 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
76 JI Derek 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 6% -
77 HAN Jiaren 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
78 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 94% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
79 WANG Caleb 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 14% 1%
80 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 91% 58% 22% 5% - -
81 LEE Aeden 100% 85% 43% 12% 2% - -
82 KOVACS Harrison 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
83 WATERFIELD Lysander 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4%
84 SAMUEL Lucas 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
85 HU Daniel 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
86 PAN Jason 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
87 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
88 ZHOU Alex 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
89 YOUM Tyson 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
90 SUN Nathan 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
91 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 5%
91 HUANG Jinyao 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
93 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
94 ZHENG Lerui 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 8% 1%
95 DANTON Ryan 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
95 LIN Qianzhong 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
97 LU Hansen 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
98 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
99 LIU jeremy 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
100 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
101 GREULICH Nikolas 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
102 XU Jason 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
103 SHI Luke 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
104 HUANG Anthony 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
105 SHAW Eric 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
106 HU Michael 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
107 EVANS Desmond 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 3%
108 WANG Mendy 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
109 WU Silin 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
110 YUNG Zak 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
111 CHOI Hunter 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% -
112 KEEGAN Cole 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
113 ZHENG Austin 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
114 BRAIZINHA David 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
114 SHEN Lucas 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
116 MAZAHERI John 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
117 WU Alexander 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
118 AMR HOSSNY Adam 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 4% -
119 LU Baisu 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
120 LIU Brady 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
121 LEE Kyle 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
122 TIAN Andy 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
123 AHMAD Uzayr 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% 1%
124 GRIGORYAN Erik 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
125 KUBBA Krish 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
126 HUANG Marcus 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
127 FUNG Jace Y. 100% 74% 29% 5% - - -
128 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -
129 MANCHALA Vedanth 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
130 WANG Luke 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
131 MOON Nicolas 100% 89% 47% 12% 1% - -
132 TIAN Dylan 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
133 HUA Isaac 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
134 RAJAT Rivaan 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
135 FANG Ryan 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
136 CHEN Ethan 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
136 DENG Jonathan 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
138 KIM Ethan 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
138 PANG Owen 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
138 DAVIDSON Henry 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
141 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 15% 2%
142 YU Nolan 100% 36% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.