MFA Friday Night Epee (Senior Open)

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, November 24, 2023 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WICKBOLDT Eric 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
2 CHANG Andrew 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1%
3 COHEN Benjamin A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
3 SOULAIRE Tom 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 9%
5 RICHARD Silas 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 14%
6 SARKAR Anish 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
7 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
8 SIRBU Dan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
9 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 2%
10 MCNAMARA Scott 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
11 VERA Kalista R. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 12% 1%
12 SARKAR Agniv 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
13 DOWNEY Gerard C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
14 SIM Ian 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 13% 1%
15 PERALTA Christian 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% -
16 KENNY Oliver R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
17 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8% 1%
18 LAURIMAA Emil 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10% 1%
19 BECK Brian C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
20 CHANG Abigail 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
21 LEVENTAL Mark 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
22 LOGUE Paul 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 4% -
23 MITTMAN Lela Z. 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
24 MORETTI David 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
25 ASTLE Stephen 100% 81% 33% 7% 1% - -
26 BLANCO Ariia 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
27 GUO Woody 100% 100% 91% 48% 11% 1% -
28 LIN Isabel 100% 100% 97% 73% 32% 7% 1%
29 CONTI Braeden 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
30 ACKERMANN Richard 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
31 KOWALSKI Max 100% 98% 79% 42% 11% 1%
32 MCGUIRE Maximilien 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
33 SHAN Ruoheng 100% 94% 67% 26% 5% 1% -
34 SITTER Keano 100% 99% 88% 55% 16% 2%
35 SMITH Jackson 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% - -
36 BUJANOVER Maayan 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
37 LIN Andrew 100% 94% 49% 12% 2% - -
38 JACKSON Susana 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
39 BUENAVENTURA Camden 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
40 SMITH Marissa 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
41 PERALTA Christian 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.