Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC/Y8

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
2 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
3 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
5 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 46%
6 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
6 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
8 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
9 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
10 WANG Rory 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
11 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
12 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
13 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
14 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
15 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
16 PARK Rion 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
17 WONG Jackson 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
18 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
19 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
20 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
21 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
21 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
23 GERRISH William 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 6%
24 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
25 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
26 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
27 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
28 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 22%
29 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
30 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
31 PARK William 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30% 4%
32 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
33 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
34 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
35 QIAN Zekai 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
36 BAI Austin 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 13% 1%
36 LU Jingyi 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
38 HE Kyle 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
39 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
40 ZHANG Lucas 100% 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 3%
41 TANG Terry 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
42 MO Ethan 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16% 2%
43 LU Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 9%
44 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 3%
45 LU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
46 YANG Charles 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
47 ONIK Ari N. 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
48 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
49 LI Lucas 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 2%
50 ZHAO Ryan 100% 98% 73% 31% 7% -
51 SHIN Noah 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
52 ZHAO Brian 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
53 YUE Jackson 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
54 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
55 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
56 LI Allen 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
57 SICAT Justin 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
58 HOLMES Alexiy 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
59 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
60 WU Isaac 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
61 PAN Ethan 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 4% -
62 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 5%
63 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 1%
64 FRASER Rhys 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
65 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 10%
66 HARRA Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 17% 2%
67 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 10%
68 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
69 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 15% 1%
70 LEE Charles T 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
71 FOGELSON Hugh 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
72 ZHANG Gavin 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8% -
73 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
74 KO Caleb 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
75 YU William 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
76 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
77 LIANG Haojia 100% 91% 59% 22% 3% - -
77 ZHANG Ethan 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1% -
79 REN Ryan 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% -
80 KOVACS Harrison 100% 99% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
81 KIM Gene 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
82 KUO Phineas 100% 99% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
83 LEE Thomas 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
83 ZHANG Hanru 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 6% -
85 NABASSOUA Djibril 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
86 BAKSHI Aman 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 6% -
87 XIE Jicheng 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
88 WANG Tiger 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
89 POLEBOYINA Amrit 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% -
90 MA Matthew 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
91 XU Nathan 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% 1%
92 CHEN kenneth 100% 99% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
93 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
94 TANG Royce 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
95 GAO Andrew 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
96 BRAIZINHA David 100% 77% 27% 4% - - -
97 OH Joshua 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
98 KUANG Cyrus 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
99 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 99% 88% 49% 14% 2% -
100 WANG Ancen 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2% -
101 WANG Luke 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
102 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
103 ZENG Albert 100% 96% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
104 HE Ryan 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
105 SENANI Arjun 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 6% -
106 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
107 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 95% 66% 20% 2% - -
108 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
109 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
110 JIN Andy 100% 98% 76% 34% 7% 1%
111 SUN Henry 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
112 CHANG Jeremy 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
113 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
114 XIE Jayden 100% 97% 77% 41% 11% 1% -
115 MARTIRE Luca 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
115 LI Jayden 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% - -
117 SHAW Eric 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
118 GRIGORYAN Erik 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% - -
119 HUANG Jinyao 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
120 KIM Ethan 100% 49% 9% 1% - - -
120 BHARDWAJ Ranbir 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
122 ZHENG Christopher 100% 91% 49% 14% 2% - -
123 XU Joseph 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
124 HUYNH Matthew 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
125 ZHENG Austin 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
126 SHAW Spencer 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
127 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
128 YOUM Tyson 100% 34% 4% - - - -
129 CHANG Xavier 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
130 YANG Steve 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
131 HUANG Anthony 100% 85% 37% 6% - - -
132 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% - -
133 ZHANG Andrew 100% 73% 30% 6% - -
134 HU Daniel 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
135 LIN Qianzhong 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
136 GREULICH Nikolas 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
137 SINCAVAGE Louis 100% 24% 2% - - -
138 HWANG Jacob 100% 34% 5% - - - -
139 KIM Daniel 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
140 BO Aiden 100% 22% 2% - - - -
141 JOHN Meru 100% 63% 23% 5% - - -
141 SHI Luke 100% 47% 8% - - - -
143 CHANG Zane 100% 77% 24% 3% - - -
144 FRIEDMAN Marcus 100% 57% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.