DCFC Youth Challenge #1

Y-14 Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 13, 2019 at 1:30 PM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CAO Brad 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
2 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
3 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
3 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
5 KARL David 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
6 CAO Albert 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
7 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
8 USDIN Anton 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
9 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
10 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
11 HU Chelsea 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
12 ZHAO Ivy 100% 99% 92% 68% 36% 11% 1%
13 JONES Aidan 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
14 NICELY William B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
15 LIU Nicole 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3%
16 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2% -
17 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
18 HUGHES Enda 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
19 CHOO Christopher Y. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
20 SELLAR Ian 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
21 HUBSCHER Max 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
22 DREFKE Sigrid 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
23 WEBB Koa 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
24 SLEDJESKI Christopher 100% 90% 56% 19% 4% - -
25 PENHOET Adrien E. 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
26 BHATTACHARYYA Rohan 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1%
27 LOBSENZ Danny 100% 91% 52% 12% 1% - -
28 ZHANG Caden 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
29 CHOI Marcus 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
30 SUMMER Zachary 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
31 SLUSHER Charles 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
32 PENHOET Evelyn 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.