December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, December 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANG Josephine S. - - 1% 9% 44% 46%
2 LU Elaine - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
3 DUCKETT Madison - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
3 WU Helen - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
5 CHIN Sophia J. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
6 BEVACQUA Aria F. - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
7 ANTHONY Alexia B. - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
8 FEIG Sela - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
9 PABIAN Emilia 1% 10% 35% 40% 14%
10 CHEN Xiaohan - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
11 FESTA Carina - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
12 BARNOVITZ Maya - - 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
13 ZHANG XUANYI - 1% 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
14 LIGH Erenei J. - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
15 LEE Sophia - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
16 SHTREVENSKY Maria - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
17 ZENG Sarah - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
18 CALLAHAN Chase J. - - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
19 DONG Angel - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
20 NGUYEN Siena - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
21 YAO Rainie - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
22 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA - 2% 13% 29% 34% 18% 4%
22 WANG yining - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
24 ZHANG Sophie 1% 12% 38% 38% 10% 1%
25 YANG Lea - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
26 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. - - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
27 SOURIMTO Valeria - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
28 SAYSON Andrea - 2% 14% 34% 34% 13% 2%
29 GUGALA Hanna - 5% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
30 LI Victoria J. - - 2% 19% 51% 28%
31 XU Emily T. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
32 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
33 LI Alexis 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% < 1%
34 YANG Ashley M. - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
35 CHEN Ashley - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
36 MARYASH Samantha - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
37 PRIEUR Lauren - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
38 ZHENG Valentina - 2% 17% 42% 32% 7%
39 LIN Nicole - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
40 MALEK Zolie - 6% 29% 44% 20%
41 JEONG Katie - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
42 VADASZ Ibla P. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
42 LIU Yifei - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
44 WIGGERS Susan Q. - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
45 BOYNTON Ainsley - 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 3%
46 CHAVAN Arya 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
47 RAMIREZ Mirka A. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
48 XIE Nora 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
49 MANSPERGER Leena - 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5%
50 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
51 MERCHANT Aishwarya 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
52 WU Yuwei 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
53 LI Amanda C. - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
54 FERNANDEZ Martina - 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2%
55 MUND Ruth - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
56 KONDEV Elizabeth - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
57 DEHON Inès 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
58 DHAR Layla 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
59 KHAN Alissa - 2% 12% 29% 36% 18% 3%
60 HORVITZ Jacqueline 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
61 ZOLLER Noelle 1% 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
62 NEUMAN Ella 1% 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% -
63 CROOKS Riley 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
64 CAO Sophie 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
65 FAVO Isabella - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
66 CHIARELLI Valentina - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
67 SENOGLU Irmak - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
68 MAKLIN Sofia - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
69 BERNARD Kathryn 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
70 ALCEBAR Kayla - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
71 MARGULIAN Maria 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
72 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
73 SHINCHUK Ellisha 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
74 KURAEVA Vasilisa - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
75 JOHNSON Lydia - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
76 WANG Gloria Ruoyan - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
77 FAN Grace - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
78 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
79 NAYAK Esha 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
80 GRAFF Sophie - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
81 TABANGAY Heartlyn - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
82 SCOTT Eve - 6% 29% 44% 20%
83 HENRY Soraya S. - 1% 9% 35% 42% 13%
84 LEOU Korina 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
85 MONTORIO Lily M. 1% 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
86 HAMBAZAZA Liisa - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
87 LEE Alyson 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
88 CHI Claire 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
89 CARTER Keely 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
90 ZHANG Victoria - 3% 16% 37% 31% 11% 1%
91 PADANILAM Lily 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
92 KHOST Maeve 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
93 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 1% 15% 34% 32% 15% 3% -
94 ZHANG Chenfei - 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
95 HAMMERSTROM Aria 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
95 TA-ZHOU Emma 1% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
97 CHAN Jolene 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
98 CHIANG Melissa 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
99 MANKOVA Varvara 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
100 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 3% 23% 45% 24% 5% -
101 HU Anna 2% 18% 43% 31% 6% -
102 MUNGUIA Mila 15% 46% 31% 7% - -
103 BAINS Nandini 25% 48% 23% 4% -
104 GOLDIN Nina 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
105 BAIRD Kaleah 22% 48% 25% 5% - -
106 BUSH Bethany 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
107 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
107 GUVEN Coco 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
107 MERMEGAS Olivia 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
107 BARROSO Isabela 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
111 BUHAY Kirsten M. 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
112 KIM Audrey 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
113 TU Sadie 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
114 HUANG Neila 17% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
115 ONG Lauren 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
116 DUDNICK Morgan 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
117 BENOIT Adelaide L. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
117 JEFFORDS Sophia 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
119 COLBY Mercer 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
120 GOMERMAN Sophia - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
121 PROBASCO Leila 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
121 MCGRAW Sadie 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
123 REN Xinling - 4% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
124 KIM Karen 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -
125 SHELLEY Scarlett 55% 37% 8% 1% - - -
126 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
126 KRASOWITZ Lucy 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
128 ZAWADA Milena 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
129 UEMOTO Lynn 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
130 MACKAY Katherine 38% 45% 15% 2% -
131 WALLER London 18% 42% 29% 9% 1% -
132 NAYAK Antara 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
133 FENG Alicia G. 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
134 HITOMI Nadya - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
135 LAGOON Miriam 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
136 BERRIOS Catalina 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
137 STONE Coral 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
137 GENTILE Vittoria 11% 41% 34% 12% 2% - -
139 KNOBEL Sophia 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
140 GOLOVITSER Maya 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
141 BARBORIAK Emily 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
142 XU Demi 40% 44% 14% 1% - -
143 KANDADAI Lara 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
143 BANGALORE Shriya 73% 24% 3% - - - -
145 WUNNAVA Ellora 26% 46% 23% 5% - - -
145 KIRBY Skye 90% 9% - - - - -
147 ZHANG Jiaqing 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
149 POLSTON Ella 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
149 KALISHMAN Anna 64% 30% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.