December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, December 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 46%
2 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
3 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
3 WU Helen 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 12%
5 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
6 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
7 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
8 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
9 PABIAN Emilia 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
10 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
11 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
12 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
13 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
14 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
15 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
16 SHTREVENSKY Maria 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
17 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
18 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
19 DONG Angel 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
20 NGUYEN Siena 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
21 YAO Rainie 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 17% 3%
22 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 4%
22 WANG yining 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
24 ZHANG Sophie 100% 99% 87% 49% 10% 1%
25 YANG Lea 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
26 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
27 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
28 SAYSON Andrea 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
29 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
30 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 28%
31 XU Emily T. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
32 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
33 LI Alexis 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 4% < 1%
34 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
35 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
36 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
37 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
38 ZHENG Valentina 100% 100% 98% 81% 39% 7%
39 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
40 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 93% 64% 20%
41 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
42 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
42 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
44 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
45 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
46 CHAVAN Arya 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
47 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
48 XIE Nora 100% 97% 75% 36% 10% 1% -
49 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
50 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
51 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
52 WU Yuwei 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
53 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
54 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
55 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
56 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 4%
57 DEHON Inès 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3% -
58 DHAR Layla 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
59 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
60 HORVITZ Jacqueline 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
61 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 99% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
62 NEUMAN Ella 100% 99% 69% 27% 5% 1% -
63 CROOKS Riley 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
64 CAO Sophie 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
65 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
66 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
67 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
68 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
69 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
70 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
71 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
72 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
73 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 99% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
74 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
75 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
76 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
77 FAN Grace 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
78 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 95% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
79 NAYAK Esha 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
80 GRAFF Sophie 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
81 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
82 SCOTT Eve 100% 100% 93% 64% 20%
83 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 13%
84 LEOU Korina 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 9% 1%
85 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
86 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 3%
87 LEE Alyson 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
88 CHI Claire 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% - -
89 CARTER Keely 100% 99% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1%
90 ZHANG Victoria 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
91 PADANILAM Lily 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
92 KHOST Maeve 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
93 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
94 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
95 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
95 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 99% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
97 CHAN Jolene 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
98 CHIANG Melissa 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
99 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
100 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 97% 74% 29% 5% -
101 HU Anna 100% 98% 80% 37% 6% -
102 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 85% 38% 7% - -
103 BAINS Nandini 100% 75% 27% 4% -
104 GOLDIN Nina 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
105 BAIRD Kaleah 100% 78% 30% 5% - -
106 BUSH Bethany 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
107 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
107 GUVEN Coco 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
107 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
107 BARROSO Isabela 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
111 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
112 KIM Audrey 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
113 TU Sadie 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
114 HUANG Neila 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
115 ONG Lauren 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
116 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
117 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
117 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 88% 53% 20% 4% - -
119 COLBY Mercer 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
120 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
121 PROBASCO Leila 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
121 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% - -
123 REN Xinling 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
124 KIM Karen 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
125 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
126 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
126 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
128 ZAWADA Milena 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% - -
129 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% -
130 MACKAY Katherine 100% 62% 17% 2% -
131 WALLER London 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
132 NAYAK Antara 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
133 FENG Alicia G. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
134 HITOMI Nadya 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
135 LAGOON Miriam 100% 83% 44% 11% 1% - -
136 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
137 STONE Coral 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
137 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 89% 48% 14% 2% - -
139 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
140 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
141 BARBORIAK Emily 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
142 XU Demi 100% 60% 15% 2% - -
143 KANDADAI Lara 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
143 BANGALORE Shriya 100% 27% 3% - - - -
145 WUNNAVA Ellora 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -
145 KIRBY Skye 100% 10% - - - - -
147 ZHANG Jiaqing 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
149 POLSTON Ella 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
149 KALISHMAN Anna 100% 36% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.