2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, December 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14% 2%
2 ARMSTRONG Payson - 1% 9% 27% 39% 22% 1%
3 LI Stephen - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
3 BELETSKII Ivan - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
5 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
6 GEVA Reuben - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
7 LEE Joshua 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
8 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - 1% 12% 39% 44% 4%
9 LUO Alexander - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
10 ZHAI Derrick - - 1% 10% 35% 46% 8%
11 CHIANG William - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
12 ZHAO Brandon 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
13 HUA Nolan 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 1%
14 LEE Lucas 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
15 YUE Bryan - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
16 LIU Austin - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 3%
17 BELETSKII Fedor - - - - - 9% 90%
18 WU Nathan - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
19 SHAO Mason 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
20 CHEN Aiden - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
21 ZHANG Aiden - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
22 WONG Kyle - 1% 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
23 MAZAHERI John 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
24 DE LOS REYES Noah 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
25 RAU Shogun 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
26 BALLEZA Maximilian 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8% -
27 RODRIGUEZ Emiliano - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
28 XIONG Alec 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
29 LEE Leo - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
30 HOLDEN Harrison 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4% -
31 MAZAHERI Theodore 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
32 LIU Yihong 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
33 YANG Gavin 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
34 GUO zhaohong 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
35 LAI Jayden 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
36 GOLDBERG Simon - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
37 BERNIER Landyn 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
38 TORNBERG Winston 11% 35% 35% 16% 3% -
39 YOON Jonathan 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
40 WALKER Beckett 50% 38% 11% 1% - -
41 CHEN Linus 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
42 MA kevin 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3% -
43 TIAN Dylan 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
44 THOMSON Piers 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
45 YI Alexander 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
46 KEPLER Kyle - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
47 FRENCH Luke 1% 6% 24% 41% 26% 2%
48 BERKOVITS Damon 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
49 BOGDAN Fyodor - 2% 13% 36% 40% 10%
50 HUANG EVAN 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
51 KAPP Eamon 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
52 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
53 SHABASHOV Roman 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
54 ZHAO Luke 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
55 REEVES Grayson 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
56 ALI Akash 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
56 BRUMMETT William - 8% 31% 39% 19% 3%
58 LOEGERING Ryder 18% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
59 LEÓN-BOSADA Matias 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
60 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
61 PATEL Krish - 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
62 KHALID Ilyas 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
63 FABODE Elias 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
64 WERLE James 30% 44% 21% 4% - -
65 KICIMAN Louis 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
66 TAN Samuel 7% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
67 IBANEZ-CRUZ Adonis - 3% 17% 39% 33% 9%
68 PICHOT Simon - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
69 FU Benjamin 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
70 REICHLE Jude 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
71 LAPOINT Levi - 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
72 SOON Elliott - 6% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
73 KUYKENDALL Dawson - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
74 KONG Lawrence 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
75 GRANTER John 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
76 MO Shawn 1% 11% 39% 36% 12% 1%
77 STEPHANIAN Ethan 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
78 SADLER Leon 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
79 MODI Vihaan < 1% 6% 27% 42% 21% 3% -
80 HAMILTON Bennett < 1% 7% 31% 41% 17% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.