2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, December 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 2%
2 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23% 1%
3 LI Stephen 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 18%
3 BELETSKII Ivan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
5 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
6 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
7 LEE Joshua 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
8 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 99% 87% 48% 4%
9 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
10 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 8%
11 CHIANG William 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
12 ZHAO Brandon 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 3%
13 HUA Nolan 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
14 LEE Lucas 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
15 YUE Bryan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
16 LIU Austin 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
17 BELETSKII Fedor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
18 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 34%
19 SHAO Mason 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
20 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
21 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
22 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 5%
23 MAZAHERI John 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
24 DE LOS REYES Noah 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
25 RAU Shogun 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% -
26 BALLEZA Maximilian 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% -
27 RODRIGUEZ Emiliano 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
28 XIONG Alec 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
29 LEE Leo 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
30 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
31 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
32 LIU Yihong 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
33 YANG Gavin 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
34 GUO zhaohong 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
35 LAI Jayden 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
36 GOLDBERG Simon 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
37 BERNIER Landyn 100% 95% 74% 42% 15% 3% -
38 TORNBERG Winston 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
39 YOON Jonathan 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
40 WALKER Beckett 100% 50% 12% 2% - -
41 CHEN Linus 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% - -
42 MA kevin 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4% -
43 TIAN Dylan 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
44 THOMSON Piers 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
45 YI Alexander 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
46 KEPLER Kyle 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
47 FRENCH Luke 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 2%
48 BERKOVITS Damon 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
49 BOGDAN Fyodor 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 10%
50 HUANG EVAN 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
51 KAPP Eamon 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
52 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
53 SHABASHOV Roman 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
54 ZHAO Luke 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
55 REEVES Grayson 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 3% -
56 ALI Akash 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
56 BRUMMETT William 100% 100% 92% 61% 21% 3%
58 LOEGERING Ryder 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
59 LEÓN-BOSADA Matias 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
60 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% - -
61 PATEL Krish 100% 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
62 KHALID Ilyas 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
63 FABODE Elias 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
64 WERLE James 100% 70% 26% 5% - -
65 KICIMAN Louis 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
66 TAN Samuel 100% 93% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
67 IBANEZ-CRUZ Adonis 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
68 PICHOT Simon 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
69 FU Benjamin 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
70 REICHLE Jude 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
71 LAPOINT Levi 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
72 SOON Elliott 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
73 KUYKENDALL Dawson 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
74 KONG Lawrence 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
75 GRANTER John 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
76 MO Shawn 100% 99% 88% 49% 14% 1%
77 STEPHANIAN Ethan 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
78 SADLER Leon 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
79 MODI Vihaan 100% 100% 94% 67% 25% 4% -
80 HAMILTON Bennett 100% 100% 93% 61% 20% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.