2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, December 18, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YILMAZ Tarik - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
2 DENG haoyu - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
3 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - 1% 6% 24% 41% 27%
3 DU Evan - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
5 LEWIS Michael 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
6 MOORE Alexander - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
7 CAFASSO Alexander - 2% 13% 39% 40% 5%
8 WU Nathan - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 10%
9 MEHROTRA Neel - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
10 LEE Daniel - 4% 19% 38% 31% 9%
11 KIM Julian - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
12 CORTRIGHT Edmund - - - 1% 19% 79%
13 YAO Tristan - 2% 10% 31% 39% 18%
14 JAO Aaron - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
15 WANG Lucas 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
16 ALI Rayan - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
17 LUO Alexander - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
18 VAN RIET Stefan - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 4%
19 GACIOCH Noah - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
20 PLUMMER Kellan 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
21 SINGLETON Aman - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
22 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
23 SOLOMON Aryeh 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
24 WANG Devin - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
25 YU Brandon 6% 31% 41% 19% 3% -
26 SU Samuel - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
27 YAKHNIS Seth - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
28 KICIMAN Leo 3% 15% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
29 TUMULA Arihaan 1% 9% 32% 42% 16% 1%
30 VEERAVALLI Pranav 15% 35% 31% 15% 4% - -
31 LIU Austin - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
32 CHANG Matthew - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
33 HANTOV Adrian 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
34 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - - 1% 11% 32% 40% 16%
35 KUANG Cyrus - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
36 XUE Michael - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
37 KHERSONSKY Robert - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
38 GREENMAN Duke 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
39 LIU Max 1% 10% 27% 34% 22% 6% 1%
40 JERKINS Gianni 6% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
41 WONG Alexander - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
42 CHEN Aiden 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
43 GEVA Reuben - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
44 WANG Jiacheng 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
45 GONIMA Francisco 13% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
46 MILLER Xavier 10% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
47 SUMA Marvin - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
48 MA Ciel 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
49 GOODMAN Liam 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
50 LAI Jayden 4% 23% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
51 KHAVKIN Alexander 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 12% 1%
52 LEE Joshua 6% 30% 38% 20% 5% -
53 GOLDBERG Simon 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
54 FRENCH Drake 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
55 SHAO Mason 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
56 CHIANG William 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
57 FENG Xinmin 6% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
58 MA kevin 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
58 ARMSTRONG Payson 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
60 LI Stephen - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
61 LEE Lucas 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
62 KIM Leejay 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
63 LEE Davidson 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
64 ZHAO Brandon 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
65 YUE Bryan 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% -
66 YOON Jonathan 7% 30% 38% 19% 5% 1% -
67 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 10% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
68 KICIMAN Louis 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
69 CHEN Linus 15% 41% 33% 10% 1% - -
70 GUO zhaohong 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
71 LEE Leo - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
71 HUANG EVAN 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
73 ZHANG Aiden 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
74 DENG Destin 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
75 CHO JOSHUA 39% 43% 16% 2% - - -
76 INGLE Jack 39% 43% 16% 2% - -
77 HUA Nolan 1% 10% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
78 RIEDL Luke 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
79 TIAN Dylan 51% 37% 10% 1% - -
80 LIU Andrew 1% 14% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
80 DENTON Kaleb 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.