2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, December 18, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
2 DENG haoyu 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
3 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
3 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
5 LEWIS Michael 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
6 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
7 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 5%
8 WU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
9 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
10 LEE Daniel 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
11 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
12 CORTRIGHT Edmund 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
13 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
14 JAO Aaron 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
15 WANG Lucas 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
16 ALI Rayan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
17 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 24%
18 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4%
19 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
20 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
21 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
22 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
23 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
24 WANG Devin 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
25 YU Brandon 100% 94% 63% 22% 3% -
26 SU Samuel 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
27 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
28 KICIMAN Leo 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 5% -
29 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 99% 90% 58% 16% 1%
30 VEERAVALLI Pranav 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
31 LIU Austin 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
32 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
33 HANTOV Adrian 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3%
34 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
35 KUANG Cyrus 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
36 XUE Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
37 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
38 GREENMAN Duke 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
39 LIU Max 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
40 JERKINS Gianni 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
41 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
42 CHEN Aiden 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
43 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
44 WANG Jiacheng 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
45 GONIMA Francisco 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% - -
46 MILLER Xavier 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
47 SUMA Marvin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
48 MA Ciel 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
49 GOODMAN Liam 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
50 LAI Jayden 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
51 KHAVKIN Alexander 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
52 LEE Joshua 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% -
53 GOLDBERG Simon 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
54 FRENCH Drake 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
55 SHAO Mason 100% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
56 CHIANG William 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
57 FENG Xinmin 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
58 MA kevin 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
58 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
60 LI Stephen 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
61 LEE Lucas 100% 94% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
62 KIM Leejay 100% 60% 17% 3% - - -
63 LEE Davidson 100% 80% 43% 14% 3% - -
64 ZHAO Brandon 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
65 YUE Bryan 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% -
66 YOON Jonathan 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
67 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% -
68 KICIMAN Louis 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
69 CHEN Linus 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -
70 GUO zhaohong 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
71 LEE Leo 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
71 HUANG EVAN 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
73 ZHANG Aiden 100% 95% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
74 DENG Destin 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% -
75 CHO JOSHUA 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
76 INGLE Jack 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
77 HUA Nolan 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
78 RIEDL Luke 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
79 TIAN Dylan 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
80 LIU Andrew 100% 99% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
80 DENTON Kaleb 100% 92% 64% 27% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.