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2024 South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Monday, January 15, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Main Ballroom - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Howard - - - - 1% 15% 85%
2 SANCHEZ Jacob - - 2% 17% 48% 33%
3 HWANG Hagan - - - 1% 12% 43% 44%
3 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) - - 1% 7% 31% 50% 11%
5 TANI Tino - - - - 3% 25% 72%
6 KROON Landon - 6% 26% 41% 23% 4%
7 XIAO Brayden - 1% 7% 29% 42% 21%
8 GU Andrew - 1% 8% 27% 42% 21%
9 GREENSTEIN Viktor - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
10 IM Tyler - - 1% 5% 25% 48% 21%
11 ZHANG KAIQI - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
12 WANG Edward 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 4%
13 HAO Johnny - 1% 12% 35% 38% 14%
14 HO Alden - - 4% 18% 37% 31% 8%
15 ARISTOV Ilya - - 2% 20% 48% 30%
16 LIU Baichen (Matthew) 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
17 KOZLOFF Wyatt - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
18 QI Jeremy - 1% 7% 26% 40% 24% 2%
19 LI Ryan - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
20 LIN Ethan 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
21 FISCHER Noel - 3% 16% 38% 34% 9% -
22 LIU Ryan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
23 OU Rigel - 2% 15% 47% 30% 5%
24 TENG Lucas 6% 24% 37% 26% 7% 1%
25 KIM Suin - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
26 LEE Winston - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9% 1%
27 WU Dawei - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
28 GUO Jonathan 1% 14% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
29 LEE Nathan Uju - - 1% 10% 37% 47% 5%
30 LVOVSKIY Roman 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
31 VO Blake 2% 16% 39% 32% 10% 1%
32 FUGATE Logan 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
33 WANG David - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
34 CHOI LIAM - 5% 23% 40% 27% 5% -
35 YPHANTIDES Alexander - 2% 16% 37% 34% 10%
36 DOOLEY Atticus - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
37 LEE Alexander 28% 48% 21% 2% - -
38 CHEN Aaron 1% 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
39 GUO Youwei - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
39 KIM Junseong - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
41 LIANG Preston 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
42 SUN Eon 45% 43% 11% 1% - -
43 LEE Bill King 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
44 CHIANG Tyson 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 3% -
45 CHEUNG Evan 12% 38% 36% 12% 2% - -
46 GATTO EnzoPax 2% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
47 GONZALEZ Paul 28% 44% 23% 5% - - -
48 NGUYEN Ethan 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
49 CHAN Troy 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
50 KANG Leo 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
51 DING Orlando 43% 42% 14% 2% - -
52 CHOW Tyson J. 1% 11% 36% 36% 14% 2%
53 SLOAN Ethan 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
54 WANG Xuren 31% 47% 20% 2% - -
55 QI Zach 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 3% -
56 NICOLL Andrew - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
57 LEE Matthew 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
58 WARD Carter 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
58 HSIEH Maxwell 14% 43% 32% 9% 1% - -
60 HAN Kyle 7% 34% 44% 13% 1% -
61 EKAMBARAM Rithik 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% -
62 ROBERTSON Beaudry 8% 30% 37% 19% 4% - -
63 JASPERSON Nolan 22% 48% 25% 5% - -
64 SINGH Swaran 58% 33% 7% 1% - - -
65 BAKHCHINYAN Brian 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
66 STERN Kazuki 50% 39% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.