2024 South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Monday, January 15, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Main Ballroom - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
2 SANCHEZ Jacob 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 33%
3 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
3 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 11%
5 TANI Tino 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
6 KROON Landon 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 4%
7 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
8 GU Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
9 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
10 IM Tyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 21%
11 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
12 WANG Edward 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
13 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
14 HO Alden 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
15 ARISTOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 30%
16 LIU Baichen (Matthew) 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
17 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
18 QI Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 2%
19 LI Ryan 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
20 LIN Ethan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
21 FISCHER Noel 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9% -
22 LIU Ryan 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
23 OU Rigel 100% 100% 98% 83% 36% 5%
24 TENG Lucas 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
25 KIM Suin 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14% 1%
26 LEE Winston 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 10% 1%
27 WU Dawei 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
28 GUO Jonathan 100% 99% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
29 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 5%
30 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
31 VO Blake 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1%
32 FUGATE Logan 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
33 WANG David 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
34 CHOI LIAM 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5% -
35 YPHANTIDES Alexander 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
36 DOOLEY Atticus 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
37 LEE Alexander 100% 72% 24% 2% - -
38 CHEN Aaron 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% -
39 GUO Youwei 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 18% 2%
39 KIM Junseong 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 1%
41 LIANG Preston 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
42 SUN Eon 100% 55% 12% 1% - -
43 LEE Bill King 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
44 CHIANG Tyson 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
45 CHEUNG Evan 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% - -
46 GATTO EnzoPax 100% 98% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
47 GONZALEZ Paul 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
48 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
49 CHAN Troy 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
50 KANG Leo 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
51 DING Orlando 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
52 CHOW Tyson J. 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2%
53 SLOAN Ethan 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
54 WANG Xuren 100% 69% 22% 3% - -
55 QI Zach 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
56 NICOLL Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
57 LEE Matthew 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
58 WARD Carter 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
58 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% - -
60 HAN Kyle 100% 93% 59% 15% 1% -
61 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
62 ROBERTSON Beaudry 100% 92% 61% 24% 4% - -
63 JASPERSON Nolan 100% 78% 30% 5% - -
64 SINGH Swaran 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
65 BAKHCHINYAN Brian 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
66 STERN Kazuki 100% 50% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.