Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, January 15, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) - - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
2 MEHROTRA Neel - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
3 SINGLETON Aman - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 32%
3 KROPP Wesley - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
5 BOUDREAUX James - - - - 2% 20% 78%
6 SHCHUR Grayson - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
7 HUANG Kenneth - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
8 CHEN Isaac Zhi - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
9 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
10 SADOWY Krzysztof - - - - 4% 29% 66%
11 YANG Gary - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
12 KIM Henry - - 3% 15% 38% 39% 5%
13 KIM Julian - - 2% 12% 29% 37% 19%
14 DOAN Christopher - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
15 VAN JAARSVELD Leo - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 6%
16 CHO Alex - - 1% 7% 28% 46% 18%
17 SUN Marco - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 4%
18 CHEN Jayden - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
19 MIDYANY Ryan - - - 4% 27% 68%
20 MIKHAIL Lucas - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
21 LEE Anton - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 7%
21 ZHAI Junqi - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
23 TSIEN Richard 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
24 LIU Zicheng - 5% 19% 33% 29% 13% 2%
25 BO Genero 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
26 DODIN Daniel M. - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
27 MOSTOVOY philip - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
28 WANG Marcus - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
29 ADDYSON Aidan 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5% -
30 CHANEY Charles - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
31 LUO Alexander - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
32 DING Max - 3% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
33 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
34 KICIMAN Leo - 4% 16% 34% 32% 13% 1%
35 TOWNSHEND Connor - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
36 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
37 FOGEL Jake 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
38 PUTHOFF Henry - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8%
39 WANG Marcus 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
40 HANTOV Adrian - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
41 YAO Ryan - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 4%
42 YAO Tristan - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
42 WANG Jiacheng - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
44 NOOL Alexander 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
45 LEE Harrison - 3% 14% 30% 33% 16% 3%
46 NG Nico 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
47 YU David - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
48 OH Ted 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
49 CHEN Daniel 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
50 HERDMAN Julian 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
51 CHANG Matthew 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
52 ROBERTS Arthur - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
53 DEFFENBAUGH Vasily - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
54 WU MiEr - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
55 QU RuiTing 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
56 SZCZAPA Lukas - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
57 MA Nolan - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2%
58 YAO Aiden - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
59 KIM Aiden 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
60 KONG Ethan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
61 DANILOV Artur 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
62 HEADRICK Liam 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
63 ZINCHUK Yuri 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
64 GATEWOOD Michael 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
65 SHAPIRO Samuel - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12% 1%
66 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
67 CAFASSO Alexander - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
68 SHIM Jae - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 1%
69 FONG Henry 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
70 PARY Jean Pierre 3% 18% 36% 32% 11% 1%
71 ZHANG Chaoyi（Joey） 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
72 CHEN Cameron - 5% 21% 40% 30% 4%
73 FENG Xinmin 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
74 SOLOMON Aryeh - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
75 ZHAN ETHAN 11% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
75 MEDISETTI Arjun 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
77 CHEN Evan 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
78 SONG Aidan - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
79 ARMSTRONG Payson 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
80 HONG Ethen 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
81 CHIANG William 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
82 ZHAO Brandon 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
83 STRAFFORD Andrew 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
84 SHAO Mason 2% 15% 39% 33% 11% 1%
85 FEELY Benjamin 15% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
86 PLUMMER Kellan 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
87 WHITE Jackson 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
88 WITHERELL Logan 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
89 CHO Adrian 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
90 GRANT Aidan 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
91 ZHOU Luke 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
92 LIU Austin 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
93 MASKIN Mikhail - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
94 ZHANG Shuhao 31% 42% 21% 5% - - -
95 GONIMA Francisco 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1% -
96 MA yuwei 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
97 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
98 MILLER Xavier 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
99 YAO Irvine 35% 41% 19% 5% 1% - -
100 FERREIRA DE MELO Martin 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
101 MCCABE Zachary 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
102 KIM Kaiden 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
103 MA Joseph 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
104 KANG Ihan 10% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
105 SCOTTODIMARCO James 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
106 ORNDORF IV Thomas P. 37% 44% 16% 2% - -
107 JONES Gideon 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
108 DAI Jason 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
109 BRESLAV Asher 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
110 NOOL Aaron 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
111 CAMP William 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
111 LAI Jayden 10% 34% 36% 17% 3% - -
113 KIM Doyun 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
114 BOBORIS Dimitrios 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
115 WANG Suian (Andy) 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
116 WU Jiachen 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
117 LI Bryan 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
118 KIM Siwoo 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
118 WILLIAMS Gavin 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
120 D’ANNA David - 2% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
121 RAMIREZ Hunter 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
122 SMITH Theo 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
123 BORAN Brooks 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
124 RAMIREZ Tristan 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
125 CAVALLARO Sebastian 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
126 GIORDANO Zach 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
127 WERNER Henry 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
128 CHEN Jayden A 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
129 KICIMAN Louis 51% 37% 11% 2% - - -
130 HOLDEN Harrison 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
131 MCGINLEY Felix 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
132 CHEN Zachary 37% 42% 17% 3% - -
133 DE LOS REYES Noah 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
133 SHIM Jaeyoo 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
135 ROBINSON Ronald (Tre) 22% 46% 26% 6% 1% -
136 SHI Evan 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.