Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, January 15, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
2 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
3 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
3 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
5 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
6 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
7 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
8 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
9 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
10 SADOWY Krzysztof 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
11 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
12 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 5%
13 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
14 DOAN Christopher 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
15 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 6%
16 CHO Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
17 SUN Marco 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
18 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
19 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
20 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
21 LEE Anton 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
21 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 36%
23 TSIEN Richard 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
24 LIU Zicheng 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
25 BO Genero 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
26 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
27 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
28 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
29 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
30 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
31 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12%
32 DING Max 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
33 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
34 KICIMAN Leo 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
35 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
36 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 17%
37 FOGEL Jake 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
38 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
39 WANG Marcus 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
40 HANTOV Adrian 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
41 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 4%
42 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
42 WANG Jiacheng 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
44 NOOL Alexander 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
45 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
46 NG Nico 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
47 YU David 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
48 OH Ted 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
49 CHEN Daniel 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
50 HERDMAN Julian 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
51 CHANG Matthew 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
52 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
53 DEFFENBAUGH Vasily 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
54 WU MiEr 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 13% 1%
55 QU RuiTing 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
56 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
57 MA Nolan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
58 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 12% 1%
59 KIM Aiden 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
60 KONG Ethan 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
61 DANILOV Artur 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
62 HEADRICK Liam 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
63 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
64 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
65 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12% 1%
66 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
67 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
68 SHIM Jae 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16% 1%
69 FONG Henry 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% 1%
70 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1%
71 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 3%
72 CHEN Cameron 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 4%
73 FENG Xinmin 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
74 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
75 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 89% 59% 25% 7% 1% -
75 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
77 CHEN Evan 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
78 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
79 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6% -
80 HONG Ethen 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
81 CHIANG William 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
82 ZHAO Brandon 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
83 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
84 SHAO Mason 100% 98% 84% 44% 12% 1%
85 FEELY Benjamin 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
86 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3% -
87 WHITE Jackson 100% 99% 92% 68% 35% 10% 1%
88 WITHERELL Logan 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
89 CHO Adrian 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
90 GRANT Aidan 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
91 ZHOU Luke 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
92 LIU Austin 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
93 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
94 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
95 GONIMA Francisco 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
96 MA yuwei 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
97 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
98 MILLER Xavier 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
99 YAO Irvine 100% 65% 25% 5% 1% - -
100 FERREIRA DE MELO Martin 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
101 MCCABE Zachary 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
102 KIM Kaiden 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
103 MA Joseph 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
104 KANG Ihan 100% 90% 54% 19% 3% -
105 SCOTTODIMARCO James 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
106 ORNDORF IV Thomas P. 100% 63% 19% 3% - -
107 JONES Gideon 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
108 DAI Jason 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
109 BRESLAV Asher 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
110 NOOL Aaron 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
111 CAMP William 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
111 LAI Jayden 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
113 KIM Doyun 100% 80% 43% 14% 3% - -
114 BOBORIS Dimitrios 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
115 WANG Suian (Andy) 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
116 WU Jiachen 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
117 LI Bryan 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
118 KIM Siwoo 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
118 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
120 D’ANNA David 100% 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 1%
121 RAMIREZ Hunter 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
122 SMITH Theo 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
123 BORAN Brooks 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
124 RAMIREZ Tristan 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
125 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
126 GIORDANO Zach 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
127 WERNER Henry 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
128 CHEN Jayden A 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
129 KICIMAN Louis 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
130 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
131 MCGINLEY Felix 100% 87% 52% 17% 2% -
132 CHEN Zachary 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
133 DE LOS REYES Noah 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
133 SHIM Jaeyoo 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
135 ROBINSON Ronald (Tre) 100% 78% 32% 6% 1% -
136 SHI Evan 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.