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Event Results

Div I-A Men's Saber

Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8Pool Heatmap

Friday, January 19, 2024 at 3:00 PM Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
34 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
2 DOARES Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
3 TSAO Oliver 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% < 1%
3 FORMENTI Giulio 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
5 POSY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 16%
6 FERRARA Nicholas S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
6 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
8 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
9 BENSON Jacob 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
10 XU Ivan 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
11 KOGAN Nikita 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
11 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
13 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 70% 28% 2%
14 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4% -
15 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
16 REHM Liam 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3% -
17 TIAGI George 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
18 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
19 PATRICK Timothy M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
20 KLEBS Robert 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
21 BIALIK Noah 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
22 ROBLES Julio C. 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
23 LIN Felix 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
24 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
25 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
26 TSAO Alister 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
27 CHENG Brandon 100% 97% 76% 36% 7% -
28 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 2% -
29 MARGULIS Jared 100% 85% 51% 18% 4% - -
30 MONTALVO ashur 100% 96% 62% 23% 4% - -
31 ROSE Colin 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 25% 3%
32 MILLS Matthew P. 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% - -
33 DHAR asif 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
34 SHU Richard 100% 22% 2% - - - -