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2024 Battle in Seattle ROC (D1A)

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, January 27, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - 1% 11% 43% 45%
2 HUANG Thomas - - 5% 26% 52% 17%
3 SUVOROV Yuly - 2% 14% 38% 38% 8%
3 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
5 LEE Andrew O. - - - - 6% 34% 59%
6 HABIB Farooq - - - 5% 32% 62%
6 DU Shunyu K. - 4% 23% 44% 27% 2%
8 BU Xianchen - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
9 FULLER George K. - - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
10 SMITH Justin C. - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
11 ZHOU Justin 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 2%
12 HONZ Jacob - - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
13 BREILING Niklas 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
14 HAMZA Tudor - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
15 WEGENER Soren 17% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
16 CRANOR Erich L. - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
17 LUEBBE Jost - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
18 ZAYDMAN David M. - - 3% 15% 38% 34% 10%
19 MING Nathan 5% 26% 41% 23% 4% -
20 PERKA Michael - - 3% 16% 41% 33% 6%
21 PETERSEN Ephraim 1% 14% 37% 34% 12% 2% -
22 DONDISCH Ilan 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
23 CARLSON Jesse - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 5%
24 ZHUANG William 7% 29% 40% 21% 3% -
25 ELZAYN Hadi S. - 3% 21% 43% 29% 3%
26 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. - - 4% 23% 50% 24%
27 PETROLL Jared P. - - - 5% 34% 61%
28 WELDON Benjamin - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
29 HU zhe 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
30 BECKER Joseph 23% 43% 27% 6% - -
31 WU Alistair 2% 15% 38% 34% 10% 1% -
32 LIPPMAN Jake 1% 10% 34% 38% 15% 2% -
33 SPROWLES Cameron D. - - - 2% 23% 75%
34 KILUK Andrew - - 2% 14% 41% 36% 7%
35 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
36 PALACIOS Francisco 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
37 OLSON Kevin 14% 39% 35% 11% 1% -
38 ELLISOR Drayten 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
39 DONG Haiyi 1% 27% 44% 23% 4% -
40 HANNON Owen 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
41 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 1% 8% 29% 41% 19% 2%
42 MAKMATOV Vadim - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
43 KIM Andrew J. - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
44 PENG Gregory 13% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
45 JOHNSON Jeff - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
46 WILLIAMS Derek 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
47 LIPTON Jason S. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
48 LIPTON Michael D. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
49 GOWDA Suyog 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% - -
50 KLING Kai 12% 42% 34% 10% 1% - -
51 ROBERTS Peter 3% 16% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
52 SHOWALTER Cameron J. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
53 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 13% 39% 35% 11% 1% -
54 BEAVER Aaron 1% 25% 45% 25% 5% -
55 KIM Teo 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
56 VANDERVELDE Pierce F. 1% 10% 32% 41% 15% 1%
57 KLEIN Johannes 8% 29% 39% 20% 3% -
58 PAINTER Patrick I. 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
59 ARMES Jonas 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
60 STOCK Jordan 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
61 JACKSON Thomas 29% 45% 22% 4% - -
62 MEHROTRA Dhruv 90% 9% - - - -
63 LADD Andrew S. 9% 41% 38% 11% 1% - -
64 XUE Jake 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.