2024 Battle in Seattle ROC (D1A)

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, January 27, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
2 HUANG Thomas 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 17%
3 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 8%
3 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
5 LEE Andrew O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
6 HABIB Farooq 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
6 DU Shunyu K. 100% 100% 96% 73% 29% 2%
8 BU Xianchen 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
9 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
10 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
11 ZHOU Justin 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
12 HONZ Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
13 BREILING Niklas 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
14 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
15 WEGENER Soren 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% -
16 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
17 LUEBBE Jost 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
18 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
19 MING Nathan 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% -
20 PERKA Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 6%
21 PETERSEN Ephraim 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
22 DONDISCH Ilan 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
23 CARLSON Jesse 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 5%
24 ZHUANG William 100% 93% 64% 24% 3% -
25 ELZAYN Hadi S. 100% 100% 97% 75% 32% 3%
26 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 24%
27 PETROLL Jared P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 61%
28 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 8%
29 HU zhe 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
30 BECKER Joseph 100% 77% 34% 7% - -
31 WU Alistair 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1% -
32 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 3% -
33 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
34 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 7%
35 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
36 PALACIOS Francisco 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
37 OLSON Kevin 100% 86% 47% 12% 1% -
38 ELLISOR Drayten 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
39 DONG Haiyi 100% 99% 72% 27% 4% -
40 HANNON Owen 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
41 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 2%
42 MAKMATOV Vadim 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
43 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
44 PENG Gregory 100% 87% 51% 15% 2% -
45 JOHNSON Jeff 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
46 WILLIAMS Derek 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
47 LIPTON Jason S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
48 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
49 GOWDA Suyog 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
50 KLING Kai 100% 88% 45% 12% 1% - -
51 ROBERTS Peter 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
52 SHOWALTER Cameron J. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
53 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 100% 87% 48% 12% 1% -
54 BEAVER Aaron 100% 99% 74% 30% 5% -
55 KIM Teo 100% 84% 46% 12% 1% -
56 VANDERVELDE Pierce F. 100% 99% 89% 57% 16% 1%
57 KLEIN Johannes 100% 92% 63% 24% 3% -
58 PAINTER Patrick I. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
59 ARMES Jonas 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
60 STOCK Jordan 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
61 JACKSON Thomas 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
62 MEHROTRA Dhruv 100% 10% - - - -
63 LADD Andrew S. 100% 91% 50% 12% 1% - -
64 XUE Jake 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.