March NAC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Friday, March 1, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Nathan - - - - 5% 30% 64%
2 WU Wallace - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
3 DESERANNO Leander - - - - 3% 25% 72%
3 WANG Tiger - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
5 LIU Alex - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
6 PARK Andrew - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
7 CHEN Ryker - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 11%
8 ZHENG Lerui - 5% 24% 41% 24% 5%
9 KUANG Cyrus - 3% 15% 36% 35% 10%
10 CHANG Parker - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
11 XIE Jayden - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 21%
12 VENAFRO Tristan - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
13 DIFRANK Avery - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
14 JIN Xueyuan George 3% 15% 32% 33% 16% 3%
15 SLAIN Owen 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
16 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz - 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2%
17 SUN Roy - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
18 RAU Shogun - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
19 WANG Mendy - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
20 ZHAI Alex - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
21 MURDOCK Koichi - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
22 XIAN kevin - - 3% 21% 56% 20%
23 WANG Caleb 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3%
24 WU Gengze (Daniel) - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
25 GUGALA Frank - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
26 PESKIN Kepler - - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
27 LU Brandon - 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
28 CHENG Alvin 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% - -
29 SUAREZ Lucas - 2% 12% 31% 36% 18% 2%
30 JUE Lucas 2% 21% 45% 26% 6% 1% -
31 CHEN Steven - 1% 10% 30% 41% 18%
32 SHARMA Ari 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
33 QU Zhida (richard) - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
34 QIAN Henry - - 1% 4% 20% 42% 33%
35 PAN Howard Haoran - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
36 LIN George - 3% 17% 36% 32% 12% 1%
37 YANG Steve - 1% 5% 20% 38% 29% 8%
38 WANG Waylon - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 6%
39 LI Ryan - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
40 YU Jinyuan 6% 33% 40% 18% 3% -
41 HUYNH Matthew - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
42 XU Ethan - 1% 10% 30% 39% 19% 1%
43 PARK Avan 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 3% -
44 SHENOY sean 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
45 CHEN Kyle - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
46 HO Cameron 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
47 JEON Joohun 1% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
48 DANTON Ryan - 4% 20% 39% 30% 5%
49 WU Silin - 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 2%
50 MAZAHERI Theodore - 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
51 MAZAHERI John - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
52 LEE Conrad - 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
53 DING Sam - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
54 EVANS Desmond - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 15%
55 SONG Enoch - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
56 SINGH Reyaansh 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
57 WU Vincent Moxiao 3% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
58 WANG Eason 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
59 CAO Joshua 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
60 LI Aaron 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
61 SHENOY Neil 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
62 ZHANG Derek - 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
63 ZHOU Ezra 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
64 TROUSDALE Brody 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 2%
65 KAJITA Grayson 5% 31% 40% 20% 4% - -
66 ZHANG William - 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
67 LAM Lazarus 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
68 FOO Kingston 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
69 TROYANKER Makar 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
70 HUYNH Kaleb 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
71 LIU Michael 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
72 ZHANG Aiden 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
73 ALVAREZ Evan - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
74 LIN Dylan 28% 52% 18% 2% - - -
75 GOLDSTEIN Benjamin 4% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
76 LIN Stewart 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
77 HOARE Gabriel 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
78 TAN benjamin 3% 21% 41% 27% 7% 1%
79 CREMEL Remi 3% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
80 LIU Aiden 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
81 ROPER Griffin 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
82 ZHANG Bosen 9% 45% 36% 10% 1% - -
83 MENG Andy 3% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
84 CHONG Cooper 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
85 MORALES Tycho 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
86 YU Ethan 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
87 SUN Oliver 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
88 CHEN Solomon 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% -
89 SAVAGE Angus 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
90 TEOH Liam 53% 36% 9% 1% - -
91 VASANTH Arjun 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
92 NGO Lincoln 61% 33% 6% - - -
93 DENG Augustine < 1% 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
94 LI Jonathan 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
94 MA Madrid 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
96 CREMEL Louis 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -
97 ANDERSON Stellan 69% 27% 3% - - - -
98 MCBRIDE Sam 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
99 LI William 43% 44% 12% 1% - - -
100 KOMAROV Jacob 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.